Wisconsin
Men - Women
2013 - 2014 - 2015
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
2  Sarah Disanza SO 18:51
44  Molly Hanson JR 19:46
83  Emma-Lisa Murphy JR 19:58
90  Gabi Anzalone SR 20:00
226  Colette Richter FR 20:28
428  Sarah Heinemann SO 20:50
497  Michelle Lee SO 20:56
557  Grace Meurer JR 21:02
584  Madeline Timm JR 21:03
626  Liga Blyholder SR 21:06
National Rank #5 of 341
Great Lakes Region Rank #2 of 34
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 100.0%
Most Likely Finish 7th at Nationals


National Champion 0.6%
Top 5 at Nationals 29.8%
Top 10 at Nationals 77.1%
Top 20 at Nationals 99.0%


Regional Champion 1.4%
Top 5 in Regional 100.0%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Sarah Disanza Molly Hanson Emma-Lisa Murphy Gabi Anzalone Colette Richter Sarah Heinemann Michelle Lee Grace Meurer Madeline Timm Liga Blyholder
Greater Louisville Classic (Gold) 10/04 430 19:33 19:51 19:52 20:19 20:32 20:48 21:18 21:06
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/17 299 19:22 19:35 19:40 20:01 20:23 20:41 21:00
Big Ten Conference Championships 11/02 304 19:04 19:38 19:55 19:52 20:22 20:49 20:56 20:55 21:03
Great Lakes Region Championships 11/14 378 19:31 19:51 20:06 19:46 20:31 21:24 20:57
NCAA Championship 11/22 469 18:39 19:59 20:23 20:07 20:37 20:47 21:04





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 100% 8.0 295 0.6 2.8 6.1 9.2 11.1 11.1 11.3 9.5 8.4 6.9 5.3 4.5 3.4 2.6 1.8 1.4 1.0 0.8 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Region Championship 100% 2.1 75 1.4 86.7 10.2 1.5 0.2 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sarah Disanza 100% 2.9 15.5 20.3 15.8 11.8 9.8 6.7 5.3 3.7 3.1 2.2 1.5 1.3 1.0 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
Molly Hanson 100% 48.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 1.0 1.0 1.1 0.9 1.3 1.3 1.3
Emma-Lisa Murphy 100% 77.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.1
Gabi Anzalone 100% 83.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1
Colette Richter 100% 161.7
Sarah Heinemann 100% 211.9
Michelle Lee 100% 220.1


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sarah Disanza 1.0 69.9 18.9 8.6 2.1 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Molly Hanson 8.9 0.3 1.3 3.4 6.4 9.0 9.8 10.7 10.4 10.2 8.1 7.2 5.1 4.6 3.6 2.3 1.8 1.8 1.0 0.8 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.2
Emma-Lisa Murphy 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.2 2.0 3.4 4.3 5.8 6.8 7.4 7.5 7.5 7.0 7.4 6.4 5.7 4.3 4.1 3.5 2.7 2.4 2.1 1.8 1.0
Gabi Anzalone 14.2 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.6 2.3 3.5 5.4 5.3 6.4 7.2 7.5 8.0 7.7 7.3 6.1 4.9 4.7 4.4 3.0 2.4 1.9 2.0 1.5
Colette Richter 31.8 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.8 1.1 1.9 1.7 2.3 3.0 3.0 3.1 3.5 3.5
Sarah Heinemann 53.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3
Michelle Lee 59.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1.4% 100.0% 1.4 1.4 1
2 86.7% 100.0% 86.7 86.7 2
3 10.2% 100.0% 10.1 0.0 0.1 10.2 3
4 1.5% 100.0% 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 4
5 0.2% 100.0% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 5
6 6
7 0.0% 100.0% 0.0 0.0 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
Total 100% 100.0% 1.4 86.7 10.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 88.1 11.9




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
New Mexico 100.0% 1.0 1.0
West Virginia 100.0% 2.0 2.0
Florida State 100.0% 1.0 1.0
Vanderbilt 99.9% 1.0 1.0
Stanford 99.3% 1.0 1.0
North Carolina 99.2% 1.0 1.0
Virginia 98.7% 1.0 1.0
Minnesota 98.1% 2.0 2.0
Boise State 97.6% 1.0 1.0
Michigan 94.8% 1.0 0.9
Washington 90.1% 1.0 0.9
Iona 84.9% 1.0 0.8
Ohio State 84.5% 2.0 1.7
Syracuse 82.3% 1.0 0.8
Toledo 67.0% 1.0 0.7
Arizona State 64.7% 1.0 0.6
UCLA 62.5% 1.0 0.6
Boston College 55.0% 1.0 0.6
Providence 53.2% 1.0 0.5
William and Mary 52.5% 1.0 0.5
Notre Dame 49.0% 1.0 0.5
Dartmouth 48.8% 1.0 0.5
BYU 42.7% 1.0 0.4
SMU 18.3% 1.0 0.2
Penn State 17.1% 1.0 0.2
Virginia Tech 4.1% 1.0 0.0
Columbia 3.0% 1.0 0.0
Missouri 2.0% 1.0 0.0
Cornell 1.3% 1.0 0.0
Harvard 1.1% 1.0 0.0
Lipscomb 1.0% 1.0 0.0
Florida 0.7% 1.0 0.0
Indiana 0.4% 2.0 0.0
Texas A&M 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Illinois 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Mid. Tenn. State 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Eastern Kentucky 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Weber State 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 21.6
Minimum 15.0
Maximum 25.0