Arkansas
Men - Women
2013 - 2014 - 2015
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
7  Dominique Scott JR 19:05
24  Grace Heymsfield SR 19:32
58  Jessica Kamilos SR 19:51
60  Diane Robison JR 19:53
92  Shannon Klenke SR 20:00
229  Kelsey Schrader FR 20:29
259  Regan Ward SO 20:32
279  Samantha Mohler SO 20:34
510  Valerie Reina SO 20:57
672  Kaitlin Flattmann JR 21:10
1,035  Chandler Crumblish FR 21:35
2,267  Logan Bishop FR 22:51
National Rank #3 of 341
South Central Region Rank #1 of 35
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 100.0%
Most Likely Finish 3rd at Nationals


National Champion 9.1%
Top 5 at Nationals 81.5%
Top 10 at Nationals 97.8%
Top 20 at Nationals 100.0%


Regional Champion 99.2%
Top 5 in Regional 100.0%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Dominique Scott Grace Heymsfield Jessica Kamilos Diane Robison Shannon Klenke Kelsey Schrader Regan Ward Samantha Mohler Valerie Reina Kaitlin Flattmann Chandler Crumblish
Chile Pepper Festival 10/04 317 19:27 19:41 20:00 19:57 20:34 20:14 20:34 21:16 21:35
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/17 232 19:07 19:09 20:05 19:52 19:58 20:37
SEC Championship 10/31 222 19:04 19:14 19:47 19:57 20:05 20:23 20:34 20:42 20:38 21:10
South Central Region Championships 11/14 209 19:12 19:39 19:43 19:43 19:59 20:24 20:58
NCAA Championship 11/22 278 18:59 19:57 19:51 19:51 20:05 20:29 20:39





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 100% 3.9 195 9.1 22.8 23.5 16.2 10.0 6.5 4.2 2.7 1.7 1.3 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Region Championship 100% 1.0 34 99.2 0.8



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Dominique Scott 100% 7.2 2.0 5.6 6.9 8.5 8.2 8.9 8.1 8.2 6.9 5.8 5.5 4.0 3.9 3.0 2.5 2.1 1.7 1.4 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.4
Grace Heymsfield 100% 25.3 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 1.0 1.4 1.9 2.1 2.3 2.7 2.7 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.8 3.0 2.8 3.2 3.3 3.0 2.4 2.6
Jessica Kamilos 100% 59.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.7 0.9
Diane Robison 100% 64.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.7
Shannon Klenke 100% 84.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.1
Kelsey Schrader 100% 162.3
Regan Ward 100% 172.6


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Dominique Scott 1.0 52.5 42.4 3.7 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0
Grace Heymsfield 3.0 0.5 8.4 41.8 17.2 11.1 8.2 6.3 2.9 1.7 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0
Jessica Kamilos 7.8 0.2 2.4 8.8 9.0 9.6 11.3 11.0 10.8 10.7 8.3 5.7 4.3 3.2 1.9 1.0 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
Diane Robison 8.3 0.1 2.1 6.7 7.4 9.5 10.1 11.0 11.9 9.7 8.6 7.4 5.1 3.6 2.4 1.7 1.0 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Shannon Klenke 10.6 0.0 0.2 1.7 3.5 4.4 6.3 7.5 9.2 10.5 11.4 11.1 8.9 7.8 5.6 4.2 2.6 1.7 1.1 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.1
Kelsey Schrader 20.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.7 2.8 3.5 4.7 6.2 6.6 8.0 7.0 7.2 6.7 6.2 5.6 5.7 5.0
Regan Ward 22.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.1 1.5 1.9 3.1 4.3 5.5 6.2 5.6 6.7 6.6 6.5 7.1 6.3 5.7




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 99.2% 100.0% 99.2 99.2 1
2 0.8% 100.0% 0.8 0.8 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
Total 100% 100.0% 99.2 0.8 0.0 100.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
New Mexico 100.0% 1.0 1.0
Iowa State 100.0% 1.0 1.0
Wisconsin 100.0% 1.0 1.0
West Virginia 100.0% 1.0 1.0
Florida State 100.0% 1.0 1.0
Vanderbilt 99.9% 2.0 2.0
Stanford 99.3% 1.0 1.0
North Carolina 99.2% 1.0 1.0
Virginia 98.7% 1.0 1.0
Minnesota 98.1% 1.0 1.0
Boise State 97.6% 1.0 1.0
Washington 90.1% 1.0 0.9
Iona 84.9% 1.0 0.8
Ohio State 84.5% 1.0 0.8
Syracuse 82.3% 1.0 0.8
Toledo 67.0% 1.0 0.7
Arizona State 64.7% 1.0 0.6
UCLA 62.5% 1.0 0.6
Boston College 55.0% 1.0 0.6
Providence 53.2% 1.0 0.5
William and Mary 52.5% 1.0 0.5
Notre Dame 49.0% 1.0 0.5
Dartmouth 48.8% 1.0 0.5
BYU 42.7% 1.0 0.4
SMU 18.3% 1.0 0.2
Lamar 7.3% 1.0 0.1
Columbia 3.0% 1.0 0.0
Alabama 2.8% 1.0 0.0
Missouri 2.0% 1.0 0.0
Cornell 1.3% 1.0 0.0
Harvard 1.1% 1.0 0.0
Florida 0.7% 2.0 0.0
Auburn 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Indiana 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Texas A&M 0.1% 2.0 0.0
Kansas State 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Miss State 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Weber State 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 20.7
Minimum 15.0
Maximum 25.0