BYU
Men - Women
2013 - 2014 - 2015
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
66  Andrea Harrison SR 19:54
116  Carrie Jube JR 20:07
220  Jennica Redd JR 20:27
268  Makenna Smith SR 20:33
546  Alyssa Steed FR 21:01
567  McKenzie Weir FR 21:02
613  Marren Haneberg SO 21:05
646  Kelsey Brown SR 21:08
652  Kristi Rush SO 21:08
National Rank #30 of 341
Mountain Region Rank #3 of 20
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 58.7%
Most Likely Finish 29th at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 1.3%
Top 20 at Nationals 16.6%


Regional Champion 0.3%
Top 5 in Regional 97.7%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Andrea Harrison Carrie Jube Jennica Redd Makenna Smith Alyssa Steed McKenzie Weir Marren Haneberg Kelsey Brown Kristi Rush
Roy Griak Invitational 09/27 613 19:59 20:00 19:58 20:52 21:01 21:07 20:49
Notre Dame Invitational (Blue) 10/03 650 19:53 20:13 20:23 20:33 20:43 21:08 21:06 20:50
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/17 765 19:59 20:22 20:35 20:41 21:15 21:23 21:07
West Coast Championships 11/01 613 20:04 19:57 20:34 20:12 20:59 20:48 21:05 20:50 21:30
Mountain Region Championships 11/14 637 19:45 19:48 20:39 20:29 21:07 21:01 21:36
NCAA Championship 11/22 19:46 20:18





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 58.7% 23.4 556 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.0 1.4 2.0 2.1 2.5 2.8 3.0 3.2 3.7 3.7 4.2 3.8 4.1 4.1 4.5 4.4 3.4
Region Championship 100% 3.3 118 0.3 3.6 68.8 19.5 5.6 1.7 0.4 0.1 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Andrea Harrison 94.9% 67.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4
Carrie Jube 78.8% 98.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
Jennica Redd 59.8% 152.7
Makenna Smith 59.3% 170.1
Alyssa Steed 58.7% 224.7
McKenzie Weir 58.7% 227.6
Marren Haneberg 58.7% 230.8


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Andrea Harrison 5.7 4.0 7.0 9.1 10.6 11.4 11.4 9.1 8.5 6.3 4.6 3.6 2.8 3.2 2.3 1.6 1.1 0.9 0.7 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2
Carrie Jube 10.6 0.3 1.0 1.8 3.4 4.2 6.1 7.4 7.3 7.2 7.3 7.1 6.6 5.2 4.7 4.8 4.1 3.6 3.2 2.7 2.2 1.6 1.6 1.3 1.0 0.8
Jennica Redd 22.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.4 1.7 1.8 2.5 2.7 3.3 3.4 3.3 3.8 4.1 4.2 4.9 4.2 4.3 5.1 3.9 3.9
Makenna Smith 27.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.9 1.2 1.7 1.5 1.9 2.4 2.1 3.0 3.1 3.4 3.4 3.6 3.4 3.9 3.7
Alyssa Steed 52.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2
McKenzie Weir 54.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2
Marren Haneberg 57.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 0.3% 100.0% 0.3 0.3 1
2 3.6% 100.0% 3.6 3.6 2
3 68.8% 67.2% 0.1 0.3 0.7 2.2 3.2 5.1 5.1 7.8 8.1 13.7 22.6 46.2 3
4 19.5% 44.0% 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.0 1.0 1.8 1.9 2.2 10.9 8.6 4
5 5.6% 5.6 5
6 1.7% 1.7 6
7 0.4% 0.4 7
8 0.1% 0.1 8
9 0.0% 0.0 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
Total 100% 58.7% 0.3 3.6 0.1 0.3 0.7 2.4 3.6 6.0 6.1 9.6 10.0 15.9 41.3 3.9 54.8




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Ohio State 84.5% 1.0 0.8
Toledo 67.0% 1.0 0.7
William and Mary 52.5% 1.0 0.5
Notre Dame 49.0% 1.0 0.5
Princeton 19.9% 1.0 0.2
SMU 18.3% 1.0 0.2
Penn State 17.1% 1.0 0.2
Tulsa 7.4% 1.0 0.1
Bradley 4.7% 1.0 0.0
Columbia 3.0% 1.0 0.0
Missouri 2.0% 1.0 0.0
Cornell 1.3% 1.0 0.0
Harvard 1.1% 1.0 0.0
California 0.7% 1.0 0.0
Florida 0.7% 1.0 0.0
Portland 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Indiana 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Texas A&M 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Illinois 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Colorado St. 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Southern Illinois 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Weber State 0.0% 2.0 0.0
Elon 0.0% 1.0 0.0
South Dakota 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Butler 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 3.3
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 8.0