Butler
Men - Women
2013 - 2014 - 2015
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
119  Mara Olson SR 20:08
250  Lauren Wood SO 20:31
266  Colleen Weatherford SO 20:33
529  Olivia Pratt JR 20:59
728  Laura Riches JR 21:14
1,087  Katie Good SR 21:38
1,107  Jackie Dubnicka FR 21:39
2,062  Alex Van Hoof FR 22:38
2,571  Kristen Seiler SO 23:13
3,099  Stephanie Hanagan JR 24:08
3,245  Dani Aravich FR 24:31
3,517  Jennifer Schrock SO 25:40
National Rank #48 of 341
Great Lakes Region Rank #9 of 34
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 8.6%
Most Likely Finish 8th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.5%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 8.7%
Top 10 in Regional 96.1%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Mara Olson Lauren Wood Colleen Weatherford Olivia Pratt Laura Riches Katie Good Jackie Dubnicka Alex Van Hoof Kristen Seiler Stephanie Hanagan Dani Aravich
Roy Griak Invitational 09/27 855 19:44 20:34 21:27 21:39 20:55 20:54 22:13 23:14
ISU Pre-National Invitational (Blue) 10/18 942 20:14 20:24 21:00 21:37 22:29 21:23
Illini Open 10/24 1310 20:59 21:14 22:24 24:09 24:31
Big East Conference Championships 10/31 851 20:05 20:41 20:29 21:03 21:03 21:25 21:15 22:51
Great Lakes Region Championships 11/14 771 20:23 20:27 20:08 20:33 21:21 23:06 21:58





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 8.6% 27.1 627 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.5 1.2
Region Championship 100% 7.9 233 0.2 2.1 6.4 12.4 19.3 22.5 19.8 13.4 3.4 0.5 0.0 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Mara Olson 53.8% 94.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Lauren Wood 10.0% 138.8
Colleen Weatherford 9.8% 142.3
Olivia Pratt 8.6% 204.3
Laura Riches 8.6% 229.3
Katie Good 8.6% 247.6
Jackie Dubnicka 8.6% 247.7


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Mara Olson 17.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.6 2.0 2.7 3.6 4.4 4.4 5.1 6.1 6.5 6.4 6.5 6.0 5.3 4.6 4.6 4.2 3.5 3.2
Lauren Wood 34.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.5 1.0 0.9 1.5 1.6 2.4 2.2 2.5 3.1
Colleen Weatherford 35.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.7 0.8 0.8 1.2 1.5 1.7 2.3 2.5 2.1
Olivia Pratt 62.0 0.0 0.0
Laura Riches 77.3
Katie Good 100.6
Jackie Dubnicka 101.1




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 0.2% 100.0% 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 3
4 2.1% 73.6% 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.6 1.6 4
5 6.4% 55.6% 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.8 0.5 0.6 0.7 2.9 3.6 5
6 12.4% 24.7% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.0 9.3 3.1 6
7 19.3% 1.2% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 19.0 0.2 7
8 22.5% 22.5 8
9 19.8% 19.8 9
10 13.4% 13.4 10
11 3.4% 3.4 11
12 0.5% 0.5 12
13 0.0% 0.0 13
14 0.0% 0.0 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
Total 100% 8.6% 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.6 1.1 1.4 1.3 1.4 1.4 0.0 91.4 0.0 8.6




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Villanova 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Illinois 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Colorado St. 0.0% 2.0 0.0
Weber State 0.0% 1.0 0.0
South Dakota 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 2.0