Colorado St.
Men - Women
2013 - 2014 - 2015
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
288  Alexandra Will JR 20:35
352  McKenna Spillar FR 20:42
374  Rachael Rudel FR 20:45
583  Sanne Holland SO 21:03
705  Darby Gilfillan FR 21:12
828  Laura Yarrow JR 21:21
1,000  Mary Franke FR 21:33
1,106  Karlee Schwartzkopf SO 21:39
1,161  Kara Steinke FR 21:43
1,244  Marina Roberts JR 21:49
1,324  Alexandra Hess SO 21:53
1,901  Josephine Bush SO 22:28
National Rank #77 of 341
Mountain Region Rank #7 of 20
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.4%
Most Likely Finish 7th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 23.6%
Top 10 in Regional 97.8%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Alexandra Will McKenna Spillar Rachael Rudel Sanne Holland Darby Gilfillan Laura Yarrow Mary Franke Karlee Schwartzkopf Kara Steinke Marina Roberts Alexandra Hess
Roy Griak Invitational 09/27 1030 20:35 21:15 20:56 21:15 21:32 21:07 21:19 20:53 21:39
Rocky Mountain Shootout 10/04 1012 20:40 21:06 21:19 20:26 21:25 21:35 21:25 21:54 22:27 22:11
ISU Pre-National Invitational (Blue) 10/18 1084 20:51 20:58 21:12 21:06 21:31 21:07 21:57
Mountain West Conference Championships 10/31 957 20:32 20:46 20:42 21:14 20:55 21:06 21:53 21:54 21:41
Mountain Region Championships 11/14 801 20:22 20:17 20:23 20:41 21:28 22:12 22:27





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.4% 28.5 667 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1
Region Championship 100% 6.7 220 0.0 1.6 7.0 14.9 22.7 23.9 16.6 7.4 3.7 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Alexandra Will 6.1% 152.7
McKenna Spillar 2.3% 170.3
Rachael Rudel 1.3% 169.5
Sanne Holland 0.4% 201.8
Darby Gilfillan 0.4% 209.8
Laura Yarrow 0.4% 223.8
Mary Franke 0.4% 241.8


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Alexandra Will 28.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.9 0.9 1.1 1.7 2.0 2.2 2.6 2.7 2.9 3.2 3.1 3.4 3.8 3.9
McKenna Spillar 34.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.6 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.3 1.4 2.1 2.2 2.8 2.7
Rachael Rudel 37.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.8 1.0 1.3 1.3 1.8 1.4 1.8 2.0
Sanne Holland 54.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Darby Gilfillan 63.1 0.0 0.0
Laura Yarrow 71.9
Mary Franke 85.3




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 0.0% 100.0% 0.0 0.0 2
3 1.6% 21.5% 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.2 0.3 3
4 7.0% 7.0 4
5 14.9% 14.9 5
6 22.7% 22.7 6
7 23.9% 23.9 7
8 16.6% 16.6 8
9 7.4% 7.4 9
10 3.7% 3.7 10
11 1.4% 1.4 11
12 0.5% 0.5 12
13 0.1% 0.1 13
14 0.1% 0.1 14
15 0.0% 0.0 15
16 0.0% 0.0 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
Total 100% 0.4% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 99.6 0.0 0.3




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Illinois 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Weber State 0.0% 1.0 0.0
South Dakota 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 1.0