Colorado
Men - Women
2013 - 2014 - 2015
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
26  Erin Clark SO 19:35
76  Maddie Alm JR 19:57
109  Annie Kelly SO 20:05
136  Kaitlyn Benner FR 20:12
167  Jenny DeSouchet JR 20:18
173  Sara Sutherland SR 20:19
407  Mackenzie Caldwell FR 20:48
563  Catrina McAlister JR 21:02
597  Lucy May FR 21:04
939  Eryn Blakely FR 21:29
National Rank #10 of 341
Mountain Region Rank #2 of 20
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 99.5%
Most Likely Finish 7th at Nationals


National Champion 0.1%
Top 5 at Nationals 17.1%
Top 10 at Nationals 56.8%
Top 20 at Nationals 94.2%


Regional Champion 32.4%
Top 5 in Regional 100.0%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Erin Clark Maddie Alm Annie Kelly Kaitlyn Benner Jenny DeSouchet Sara Sutherland Mackenzie Caldwell Catrina McAlister Lucy May Eryn Blakely
Rocky Mountain Shootout 10/04 520 19:27 20:21 20:15 20:36 20:57 21:26
ISU Pre-National Invitational (Blue) 10/18 443 19:37 19:59 19:57 20:17 20:27 21:32 20:54
Pac-12 Championships 10/31 455 19:44 19:53 20:07 20:24 20:16 21:09 20:45 21:01 21:06 21:29
Mountain Region Championships 11/14 360 19:35 19:58 20:06 20:09 20:17 19:59 20:47
NCAA Championship 11/22 335 19:34 19:48 20:06 20:01 20:05 20:06 20:46





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 99.5% 10.5 339 0.1 1.5 3.3 5.1 7.1 8.2 8.7 7.8 7.9 7.0 6.6 6.0 5.2 4.3 3.7 2.9 2.9 2.1 2.1 1.7 1.3 1.2 0.9 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1
Region Championship 100% 1.7 50 32.4 64.1 3.2 0.2



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Erin Clark 100% 30.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.2 1.8 1.7 2.0 1.9 2.1 2.7 2.6 2.8 2.3 3.0 2.2 2.6 2.5 2.3
Maddie Alm 99.7% 74.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4
Annie Kelly 99.5% 98.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1
Kaitlyn Benner 99.5% 118.1
Jenny DeSouchet 99.5% 134.5 0.0 0.0
Sara Sutherland 99.5% 136.9 0.0
Mackenzie Caldwell 99.5% 206.7


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Erin Clark 1.6 38.8 19.5 15.3 10.9 6.4 3.9 2.4 1.2 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Maddie Alm 6.5 1.1 5.0 6.8 9.4 11.1 10.9 10.4 8.7 8.4 6.0 4.9 4.1 3.3 2.7 1.8 1.3 1.1 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.1
Annie Kelly 9.7 0.2 1.2 2.1 3.7 5.0 7.1 8.1 8.6 8.8 7.9 7.3 6.8 5.6 4.8 4.1 3.5 2.8 2.2 1.8 1.5 1.1 1.3 0.8 0.7 0.7
Kaitlyn Benner 12.9 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.3 2.0 3.1 4.1 4.9 6.7 6.7 7.5 6.9 6.4 5.9 5.1 5.1 4.6 4.1 3.4 3.5 2.8 2.7 1.8 2.0 1.2
Jenny DeSouchet 16.5 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.8 1.2 1.8 2.6 3.2 4.4 5.1 5.6 5.2 5.3 6.0 5.4 5.4 5.6 4.5 4.2 4.1 3.5 3.3 3.1 2.7
Sara Sutherland 16.8 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.7 1.1 1.6 2.1 2.8 4.5 4.3 5.6 5.2 5.7 5.5 5.6 5.6 5.3 4.9 4.5 4.3 3.2 3.3 3.3 2.8
Mackenzie Caldwell 39.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.5 1.0 1.2 1.5 1.3 1.6




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 32.4% 100.0% 32.4 32.4 1
2 64.1% 100.0% 64.1 64.1 2
3 3.2% 83.9% 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 2.7 3
4 0.2% 90.0% 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
Total 100% 99.5% 32.4 64.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 96.6 2.9




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Baylor 96.5% 1.0 1.0
Washington 90.1% 1.0 0.9
North Carolina St. 88.8% 1.0 0.9
Arizona State 64.7% 1.0 0.6
UCLA 62.5% 1.0 0.6
Princeton 19.9% 1.0 0.2
Penn State 17.1% 1.0 0.2
Tulsa 7.4% 1.0 0.1
Lamar 7.3% 1.0 0.1
Bradley 4.7% 1.0 0.0
Yale 2.9% 1.0 0.0
Missouri 2.0% 1.0 0.0
Lipscomb 1.0% 1.0 0.0
California 0.7% 2.0 0.0
Wyoming 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Rice 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Northern Arizona 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Kansas State 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Colorado St. 0.0% 2.0 0.0
Furman 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Elon 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Butler 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Connecticut 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Eastern Kentucky 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Utah 0.0% 2.0 0.0
Total 4.7
Minimum 1.0
Maximum 11.0