Columbia
Men - Women
2013 - 2014 - 2015
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
138  Olivia Sadler JR 20:12
317  Leila Mantilla JR 20:39
381  Natalie Tanner SO 20:46
418  Samantha Siler SO 20:49
566  Aryn Foland SR 21:02
603  Pegah Kamrani SO 21:05
992  Brianna Lenehan SO 21:33
1,134  Erin Melly FR 21:41
1,153  Emily Krasinski JR 21:43
1,162  Georgia Tuttle SO 21:43
1,209  Henna Rustami SO 21:46
1,352  Erica Johnson SO 21:55
1,887  Sydney Segal SO 22:28
2,055  Sarah Hardie FR 22:38
2,125  Brittney Wade SO 22:42
2,166  Anne Carey SR 22:44
2,304  Nicole Bauer SR 22:54
2,316  Charlotte Pierce FR 22:54
2,609  Victoria Ingram FR 23:17
2,636  Chloe Binczyk FR 23:19
2,713  Devon Towell SO 23:27
3,052  Katie Sammer FR 24:02
National Rank #56 of 341
Northeast Region Rank #10 of 43
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 10.1%
Most Likely Finish 6th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.5%


Regional Champion 0.8%
Top 5 in Regional 29.2%
Top 10 in Regional 88.1%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Olivia Sadler Leila Mantilla Natalie Tanner Samantha Siler Aryn Foland Pegah Kamrani Brianna Lenehan Erin Melly Emily Krasinski Georgia Tuttle Henna Rustami
Coast-to-Coast Battle in Beantown 09/26 973 20:24 20:39 21:04 21:06 21:03 21:12 21:43 21:43 21:40
NYC Metro Championships 10/10 1314
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/17 844 19:53 20:51 20:41 20:45 21:30 21:05 21:41
Princeton Invitational 10/18 1263 21:48 21:47
Ivy League Championships 11/01 798 20:05 20:26 20:35 20:49 20:55 21:06 21:34 21:39 21:38 21:56
Northeast Region Championships 11/14 892 20:33 20:38 20:47 20:41 20:48 20:56 21:12





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 10.1% 27.5 639 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.4 1.8 2.1
Region Championship 100% 7.1 213 0.8 2.2 5.9 9.2 11.1 14.0 13.3 12.1 10.4 9.1 6.0 3.8 1.5 0.6 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Olivia Sadler 16.2% 90.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
Leila Mantilla 10.1% 158.3
Natalie Tanner 10.1% 174.9
Samantha Siler 10.1% 184.9
Aryn Foland 10.1% 211.9
Pegah Kamrani 10.1% 214.4
Brianna Lenehan 10.1% 245.9


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Olivia Sadler 17.4 0.3 0.4 0.5 1.2 1.5 2.4 2.5 3.2 3.6 4.4 4.4 5.1 5.7 6.2 6.1 6.2 6.9 6.0 5.7 4.4 4.5 3.2 2.7
Leila Mantilla 34.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.6 0.8 1.4 1.4 1.8 2.5 2.6 3.0 3.2
Natalie Tanner 42.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.9 1.3 1.4 1.1
Samantha Siler 46.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.6 1.0
Aryn Foland 66.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2
Pegah Kamrani 71.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
Brianna Lenehan 115.8




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 0.8% 100.0% 0.8 0.8 1
2 2.2% 100.0% 2.2 2.2 2
3 5.9% 55.2% 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.0 2.7 3.3 3
4 9.2% 26.4% 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.2 6.7 2.4 4
5 11.1% 9.9% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 10.0 1.1 5
6 14.0% 2.0% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 13.7 0.3 6
7 13.3% 13.3 7
8 12.1% 12.1 8
9 10.4% 10.4 9
10 9.1% 9.1 10
11 6.0% 6.0 11
12 3.8% 3.8 12
13 1.5% 1.5 13
14 0.6% 0.6 14
15 0.0% 0.0 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
Total 100% 10.1% 0.8 2.2 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.9 1.0 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.5 0.1 89.9 3.0 7.1




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Notre Dame 49.0% 1.0 0.5
Yale 2.9% 1.0 0.0
Cornell 1.3% 2.0 0.0
Harvard 1.1% 2.0 0.0
Brown 0.7% 1.0 0.0
Florida 0.7% 1.0 0.0
Indiana 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Weber State 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Connecticut 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.6
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 4.0