Furman
Men - Women
2013 - 2014 - 2015
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
166  Sinead Haughey SR 20:18
172  Allie Buchalski SO 20:19
450  Grace Tinkey SO 20:52
572  Julia Rodriguez SO 21:02
754  Laura Miller SO 21:16
768  Emma Mashburn FR 21:17
1,202  Bryce Seymour FR 21:46
1,476  Maddie Wolfe SO 22:03
National Rank #60 of 341
Southeast Region Rank #6 of 49
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.5%
Most Likely Finish 6th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 9.6%
Top 10 in Regional 95.1%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Sinead Haughey Allie Buchalski Grace Tinkey Julia Rodriguez Laura Miller Emma Mashburn Bryce Seymour Maddie Wolfe
Panorama Farms Invitational 09/26 870 20:10 20:21 20:42 21:07 21:39 21:32 22:10
Furman Short Course Gene Mullin Invitational 10/11 1273 21:26 21:41
ISU Pre-National Invitational (Blue) 10/18 937 20:25 20:23 20:51 21:26 21:12 21:27 21:32
Southern Conference Championship 10/31 920 20:24 20:23 21:13 20:52 21:22 21:04 22:42 22:08
Southeast Region Championships 11/14 778 20:11 20:01 20:48 20:43 21:20 21:06 22:01
NCAA Championship 11/22 20:30





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.5% 27.2 618 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1
Region Championship 100% 7.4 243 0.0 0.1 1.2 8.2 27.0 23.1 16.3 11.8 7.2 3.0 1.3 0.4 0.2 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sinead Haughey 19.2% 114.5 0.0
Allie Buchalski 19.4% 114.8
Grace Tinkey 0.5% 176.0
Julia Rodriguez 0.5% 199.5
Laura Miller 0.5% 223.0
Emma Mashburn 0.5% 228.0
Bryce Seymour 0.5% 249.3


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sinead Haughey 20.4 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.9 1.2 1.6 1.6 2.4 2.6 3.4 3.4 3.9 4.1 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.7 4.0 4.2 3.7 3.7 4.0 3.5
Allie Buchalski 20.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.5 1.1 1.8 1.9 2.2 2.9 3.2 3.3 3.9 4.1 4.5 4.9 4.5 3.5 4.1 3.7 3.9 3.8 3.3 3.4
Grace Tinkey 54.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1
Julia Rodriguez 65.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1
Laura Miller 82.2
Emma Mashburn 83.2
Bryce Seymour 124.6




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 0.0% 100.0% 0.0 0.0 2
3 0.1% 42.9% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 3
4 1.2% 34.5% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.8 0.4 4
5 8.2% 8.2 5
6 27.0% 27.0 6
7 23.1% 23.1 7
8 16.3% 16.3 8
9 11.8% 11.8 9
10 7.2% 7.2 10
11 3.0% 3.0 11
12 1.3% 1.3 12
13 0.4% 0.4 13
14 0.2% 0.2 14
15 0.0% 0.0 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
48 48
49 49
Total 100% 0.5% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 99.5 0.0 0.5




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Kansas State 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Colorado St. 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Butler 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Elon 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 1.0