Gonzaga
Men - Women
2013 - 2014 - 2015
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
186  Shelby Mills JR 20:21
246  Amelia Evans JR 20:31
884  Lara Tuthill SR 21:25
1,054  Erin Bergmann JR 21:37
1,264  Zoe Urcadez JR 21:50
1,273  Jordan Thurston FR 21:50
1,617  Elena Slavoski FR 22:10
1,884  Alison Fraher SR 22:27
2,084  Olivia Evans FR 22:39
National Rank #87 of 341
West Region Rank #16 of 39
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 16th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.4%
Top 20 in Regional 95.7%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Shelby Mills Amelia Evans Lara Tuthill Erin Bergmann Zoe Urcadez Jordan Thurston Elena Slavoski Alison Fraher Olivia Evans
West Coast Championships 11/01 1017 20:14 20:38 22:06 21:36 21:41 21:38 22:10 22:27 22:12
West Region Championships 11/14 989 20:28 20:23 20:59 21:37 22:01 22:05 23:13





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 16.2 480 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.3 5.5 12.3 18.7 19.2 15.7 10.6 6.3 3.8 2.4 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Shelby Mills 2.6% 101.8
Amelia Evans 0.3% 130.0


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Shelby Mills 34.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.4 0.5 1.0 0.9 1.2 1.3 1.6 2.1 1.7 1.6 2.1 1.8 1.9 2.6 2.5
Amelia Evans 44.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.7 1.0 1.0
Lara Tuthill 118.6
Erin Bergmann 134.5
Zoe Urcadez 153.9
Jordan Thurston 154.3
Elena Slavoski 183.0




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 0.1% 0.1 8
9 0.1% 0.1 9
10 0.3% 0.3 10
11 0.9% 0.9 11
12 2.3% 2.3 12
13 5.5% 5.5 13
14 12.3% 12.3 14
15 18.7% 18.7 15
16 19.2% 19.2 16
17 15.7% 15.7 17
18 10.6% 10.6 18
19 6.3% 6.3 19
20 3.8% 3.8 20
21 2.4% 2.4 21
22 1.1% 1.1 22
23 0.5% 0.5 23
24 0.2% 0.2 24
25 0.0% 0.0 25
26 0.0% 0.0 26
27 0.0% 0.0 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0