Montana
Men - Women
2013 - 2014 - 2015
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
501  Keli Dennehy SR 20:56
999  Lauryn Wate SO 21:33
1,052  Heather Fraley SR 21:37
1,309  Christina Seas FR 21:52
1,527  Carly Wilczynski SR 22:05
1,662  Emily Cheroske FR 22:13
National Rank #168 of 341
Mountain Region Rank #18 of 20
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 18th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.7%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Keli Dennehy Lauryn Wate Heather Fraley Christina Seas Carly Wilczynski Emily Cheroske
Big Sky Conference Championships 11/01 1158 20:45 21:30 21:18 22:01 21:58 22:13
Mountain Region Championships 11/14 1229 21:17 21:40 22:09 21:42 22:20





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 16.8 440 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.1 1.9 3.4 5.6 8.0 12.3 18.7 34.6 12.5 1.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Keli Dennehy 0.2% 185.0


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Keli Dennehy 48.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5
Lauryn Wate 85.7
Heather Fraley 89.1
Christina Seas 104.5
Carly Wilczynski 115.5
Emily Cheroske 119.4




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 0.0% 0.0 8
9 0.2% 0.2 9
10 0.4% 0.4 10
11 1.1% 1.1 11
12 1.9% 1.9 12
13 3.4% 3.4 13
14 5.6% 5.6 14
15 8.0% 8.0 15
16 12.3% 12.3 16
17 18.7% 18.7 17
18 34.6% 34.6 18
19 12.5% 12.5 19
20 1.1% 1.1 20
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0