Ohio State
Men - Women
2013 - 2014 - 2015
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
33  Katie Borchers SR 19:40
174  Michelle Thomas SR 20:19
228  Helen Willman JR 20:28
331  Tammy Berger SO 20:40
364  Sakiko Minagawa JR 20:44
384  Nicole Hilton SR 20:46
503  Minori Minagawa JR 20:56
804  Kaitlyn Willette SO 21:19
986  Christine Frederick FR 21:33
1,042  Erin Gyurke FR 21:36
1,303  Rachel Weber SO 21:52
National Rank #28 of 341
Great Lakes Region Rank #4 of 34
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 88.8%
Most Likely Finish 26th at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.1%
Top 10 at Nationals 1.7%
Top 20 at Nationals 27.1%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 77.4%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Katie Borchers Michelle Thomas Helen Willman Tammy Berger Sakiko Minagawa Nicole Hilton Minori Minagawa Kaitlyn Willette Christine Frederick Erin Gyurke Rachel Weber
Notre Dame Invitational (Blue) 10/03 707 19:41 20:36 21:02 20:35 20:33 20:38 20:59 20:43 21:36
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/17 592 19:34 20:15 20:25 20:22 20:59 20:42 22:31
Big Ten Conference Championships 11/02 658 19:51 20:14 20:21 20:40 20:45 21:03 20:55 21:19 21:52
Great Lakes Region Championships 11/14 618 19:43 20:08 20:19 20:55 20:44 20:39 20:50
NCAA Championship 11/22 700 19:34 20:25 20:30 20:53 20:42 20:57 21:01





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 88.8% 23.1 550 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.9 1.4 1.5 1.8 1.9 2.7 3.4 3.1 4.2 4.5 4.4 5.2 5.3 5.9 5.6 6.7 6.2 5.7 6.1 5.5 5.1
Region Championship 100% 4.6 152 2.3 21.4 33.2 20.6 12.1 6.3 2.9 1.0 0.3 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Katie Borchers 99.9% 37.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.7 1.0 1.0 1.8 1.5 1.2 2.0 1.9 1.6 1.7 2.0 2.2 2.3 2.3
Michelle Thomas 88.8% 132.1
Helen Willman 88.8% 159.6
Tammy Berger 88.8% 186.7
Sakiko Minagawa 88.8% 194.9
Nicole Hilton 88.8% 200.5
Minori Minagawa 88.8% 218.8


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Katie Borchers 7.0 0.0 0.9 3.1 8.2 11.7 13.0 12.8 11.1 8.5 7.4 5.8 4.5 3.6 2.5 1.7 1.1 1.1 1.1 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1
Michelle Thomas 24.6 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.8 1.2 1.5 2.3 1.9 3.2 3.3 3.8 4.2 4.7 4.6 4.7 4.6 5.0 4.8
Helen Willman 31.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.7 1.2 1.0 1.5 1.7 2.2 2.5 2.6 3.2 3.8 3.4
Tammy Berger 42.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.0 0.9 1.2
Sakiko Minagawa 46.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.7
Nicole Hilton 49.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.4
Minori Minagawa 59.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2.3% 100.0% 2.3 2.3 2
3 21.4% 100.0% 1.9 5.2 5.9 4.6 2.3 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 21.4 3
4 33.2% 99.9% 2.1 7.9 8.5 5.9 4.0 1.7 1.0 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.0 33.2 4
5 20.6% 97.8% 0.3 1.2 1.4 2.2 2.2 2.6 2.8 2.1 1.9 1.9 1.4 0.5 20.1 5
6 12.1% 80.4% 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.9 1.2 1.5 1.9 1.6 1.7 2.4 9.7 6
7 6.3% 31.9% 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.7 4.3 2.0 7
8 2.9% 4.1% 0.0 0.1 2.8 0.1 8
9 1.0% 1.0 9
10 0.3% 0.3 10
11 0.0% 0.0 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
Total 100% 88.8% 2.3 1.9 7.3 14.1 14.4 9.8 7.4 4.7 4.7 4.9 4.2 4.6 4.2 4.3 11.2 2.3 86.5




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Minnesota 98.1% 2.0 2.0
Boise State 97.6% 1.0 1.0
Iona 84.9% 1.0 0.8
Toledo 67.0% 2.0 1.3
Arizona State 64.7% 1.0 0.6
UCLA 62.5% 1.0 0.6
Boston College 55.0% 1.0 0.6
Providence 53.2% 1.0 0.5
William and Mary 52.5% 1.0 0.5
Notre Dame 49.0% 1.0 0.5
Dartmouth 48.8% 1.0 0.5
BYU 42.7% 1.0 0.4
Princeton 19.9% 1.0 0.2
SMU 18.3% 2.0 0.4
Penn State 17.1% 1.0 0.2
Tulsa 7.4% 1.0 0.1
Bradley 4.7% 1.0 0.0
Columbia 3.0% 1.0 0.0
Cornell 1.3% 1.0 0.0
Harvard 1.1% 1.0 0.0
Florida 0.7% 1.0 0.0
Indiana 0.4% 2.0 0.0
Illinois 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Texas A&M 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Southern Illinois 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Weber State 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Elon 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 10.3
Minimum 4.0
Maximum 16.0