Rice
Men - Women
2013 - 2014 - 2015
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RankNameGradeRating
64  Cali Roper SO 19:53
216  Madi McLellan FR 20:26
225  Katie Jensen SO 20:28
868  Elsa Racasan FR 21:24
1,023  Eleanor Wardleworth SO 21:35
1,188  Hannah Kay SO 21:45
1,357  Christina Wassef JR 21:55
1,389  Audrey Wassef JR 21:57
1,396  Allie Schaich SR 21:57
1,427  Abigail Cartwright FR 21:59
1,492  Ellen Diemert FR 22:04
1,604  Kristin Sweeney FR 22:09
2,691  Fabiola Andujar-Perez FR 23:25
3,135  Savannah Rohloff SO 24:13
National Rank #45 of 341
South Central Region Rank #6 of 35
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.6%
Most Likely Finish 5th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.1%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 59.7%
Top 10 in Regional 99.9%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Cali Roper Madi McLellan Katie Jensen Elsa Racasan Eleanor Wardleworth Hannah Kay Christina Wassef Audrey Wassef Allie Schaich Abigail Cartwright Ellen Diemert
North Texas Ken Garland Invitational 09/27 801 19:58 20:26 20:18 21:06 22:27 21:36 21:55 21:56 22:05 21:44
Rim Rock Farm Collegiate Classic 10/04 1000 20:28 20:33 20:50 21:43 22:13 22:05 21:54 21:54 21:57 21:59 21:44
HBU Invitational 10/10
ISU Pre-National Invitational (Blue) 10/18 761 19:47 20:08 20:30 21:08 21:35 21:33 22:12
Conference USA Championships 11/01 911 20:10 20:40 20:28 21:42 21:38 22:09 22:40 21:59 21:55
South Central Region Championships 11/14 775 19:41 20:25 20:22 21:08 21:27 21:46 25:07
NCAA Championship 11/22 19:47





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.6% 26.2 615 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0
Region Championship 100% 5.5 179 0.1 3.1 13.4 43.1 22.9 11.3 4.3 1.4 0.3 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Cali Roper 79.0% 66.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.5
Madi McLellan 1.9% 109.8
Katie Jensen 1.3% 117.0
Elsa Racasan 0.6% 236.0
Eleanor Wardleworth 0.6% 240.5
Hannah Kay 0.6% 245.0
Christina Wassef 0.6% 248.7


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Cali Roper 8.4 0.0 0.4 4.5 6.5 7.4 7.8 9.0 10.3 9.6 9.7 9.4 7.3 6.8 4.0 2.8 1.8 1.0 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
Madi McLellan 19.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.6 1.5 1.7 3.0 4.3 5.1 6.1 7.5 7.2 7.4 7.0 7.3 6.4 5.9 5.2 4.0
Katie Jensen 20.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.9 1.7 2.0 3.5 5.3 5.5 6.9 7.7 7.4 6.9 7.0 6.6 6.3 4.9 4.6
Elsa Racasan 60.3
Eleanor Wardleworth 69.6
Hannah Kay 78.4
Christina Wassef 86.5




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 0.1% 100.0% 0.1 0.1 2
3 3.1% 8.3% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 2.9 0.3 3
4 13.4% 0.7% 0.0 0.0 0.1 13.3 0.1 4
5 43.1% 0.1% 0.0 0.0 43.1 0.1 5
6 22.9% 22.9 6
7 11.3% 11.3 7
8 4.3% 4.3 8
9 1.4% 1.4 9
10 0.3% 0.3 10
11 0.1% 0.1 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
Total 100% 0.6% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 99.4 0.1 0.4




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
SMU 18.3% 1.0 0.2
Yale 2.9% 1.0 0.0
Missouri 2.0% 1.0 0.0
Wyoming 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Kansas State 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Colorado St. 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Connecticut 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Butler 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Eastern Kentucky 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Furman 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Elon 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.2
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 3.0