SMU
Men - Women
2013 - 2014 - 2015
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RankNameGradeRating
65  Agnes Sjostrom SO 19:54
163  Shanoah Souza JR 20:17
318  Holly Archer JR 20:39
448  Karoline Skatteboe JR 20:52
631  Melanie Stemper JR 21:07
1,883  Julie Vanderhout SO 22:27
1,885  Claire Trotter JR 22:27
2,262  Margaret Brennan SO 22:51
2,610  Lauren Zabaleta SO 23:17
3,526  Janell Steigerwald SR 25:41
National Rank #40 of 341
South Central Region Rank #5 of 35
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 29.5%
Most Likely Finish 4th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.1%
Top 20 at Nationals 2.2%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 96.5%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Agnes Sjostrom Shanoah Souza Holly Archer Karoline Skatteboe Melanie Stemper Julie Vanderhout Claire Trotter Margaret Brennan Lauren Zabaleta Janell Steigerwald
North Texas Ken Garland Invitational 09/27 1001 20:34 20:56 20:46 20:49 22:11 21:54 22:30 23:16 25:40
Notre Dame Invitational (Blue) 10/03 716 19:39 20:15 20:22 20:50 21:20 22:29 22:28 22:54
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/17 702 19:40 19:57 20:46 20:51 20:55 22:54 22:52
American Athletic Conference Championships 10/31 873 20:04 20:25 20:33 21:18 22:17 22:36 23:06 23:18
South Central Region Championships 11/14 747 19:38 20:11 20:45 21:01 20:53 22:31 22:23
NCAA Championship 11/22 20:07





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 29.5% 27.3 636 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.9 0.7 1.4 1.7 2.0 2.2 2.8 3.5 4.3 7.1
Region Championship 100% 3.7 132 0.0 4.7 38.6 42.2 11.0 2.5 0.7 0.2 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Agnes Sjostrom 76.8% 66.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.4
Shanoah Souza 31.4% 118.7 0.0
Holly Archer 29.5% 177.5
Karoline Skatteboe 29.5% 204.8
Melanie Stemper 29.5% 229.0
Julie Vanderhout 29.6% 251.9
Claire Trotter 29.6% 251.9


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Agnes Sjostrom 8.7 0.0 0.5 3.6 6.2 7.5 7.8 8.6 9.3 9.7 9.3 9.5 8.6 6.4 4.6 3.2 1.8 1.3 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Shanoah Souza 15.9 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.5 2.1 2.7 4.0 5.0 7.0 8.6 9.3 8.8 8.4 7.1 6.7 6.3 4.4 4.0 3.0 2.2 1.8
Holly Archer 25.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.6 1.6 2.0 2.7 3.6 4.5 5.0 5.0 5.5 5.8 5.9 6.2
Karoline Skatteboe 32.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.1 1.4 1.5 2.4 2.4 2.8
Melanie Stemper 44.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4
Julie Vanderhout 112.4
Claire Trotter 112.6




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 0.0% 100.0% 0.0 0.0 1
2 4.7% 100.0% 4.7 4.7 2
3 38.6% 41.3% 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.7 1.5 2.5 3.5 6.4 22.6 16.0 3
4 42.2% 20.6% 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.3 2.4 3.9 33.5 8.7 4
5 11.0% 1.6% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 10.9 0.2 5
6 2.5% 2.5 6
7 0.7% 0.7 7
8 0.2% 0.2 8
9 0.1% 0.1 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
Total 100% 29.5% 0.0 4.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 1.1 2.1 3.8 5.9 10.4 70.5 4.7 24.8




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Toledo 67.0% 1.0 0.7
Providence 53.2% 1.0 0.5
William and Mary 52.5% 1.0 0.5
Notre Dame 49.0% 1.0 0.5
BYU 42.7% 1.0 0.4
Tulsa 7.4% 1.0 0.1
Bradley 4.7% 1.0 0.0
Columbia 3.0% 1.0 0.0
Cornell 1.3% 1.0 0.0
Harvard 1.1% 1.0 0.0
Florida 0.7% 1.0 0.0
Indiana 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Texas A&M 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Southern Illinois 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Elon 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Weber State 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 2.8
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 6.0