Siena
Men - Women
2013 - 2014 - 2015
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
1,403  Christie MacFarlane JR 21:58
1,630  Shannon Bauer SO 22:11
2,051  Dominica Bleichert FR 22:38
2,194  Kelly Pasko SO 22:46
2,955  Erin Morrell FR 23:50
3,066  Sydney Sericolo SO 24:04
3,275  Kristen Lancto JR 24:36
3,298  Chelsea Needham SR 24:40
3,444  Caroline Bertholf SR 25:16
3,476  Charlotte Brunjes JR 25:28
3,618  Ursula Svoboda SO 26:19
3,686  Christine Heaney JR 26:55
3,749  Kelly Russo SO 27:51
National Rank #257 of 341
Northeast Region Rank #34 of 43
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 34th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.0%
Top 20 in Regional 0.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Christie MacFarlane Shannon Bauer Dominica Bleichert Kelly Pasko Erin Morrell Sydney Sericolo Kristen Lancto Chelsea Needham Caroline Bertholf Charlotte Brunjes Ursula Svoboda
Lehigh Paul Short Run (Brown) 10/04 1314 22:05 22:16 22:18 23:15 23:29 24:02 24:35 24:39 24:58
Ualbany Invite 10/18 1307 22:27 22:13 22:48 22:44 23:42 23:29 24:20 25:01 26:21
MAAC Championships 10/31 1298 21:48 21:37 22:35 22:43 23:50 24:20 24:40 26:28 25:28 26:18
Northeast Region Championships 11/14 1321 21:37 22:26 22:51 22:34 25:02 24:19 24:49





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 33.2 972 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.5 4.2 6.7 10.2



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Christie MacFarlane 146.4
Shannon Bauer 163.2
Dominica Bleichert 197.9
Kelly Pasko 207.1
Erin Morrell 259.3
Sydney Sericolo 267.6
Kristen Lancto 281.4




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 0.0% 0.0 25
26 0.1% 0.1 26
27 0.5% 0.5 27
28 2.5% 2.5 28
29 4.2% 4.2 29
30 6.7% 6.7 30
31 10.2% 10.2 31
32 13.8% 13.8 32
33 15.1% 15.1 33
34 15.7% 15.7 34
35 12.5% 12.5 35
36 10.5% 10.5 36
37 5.7% 5.7 37
38 2.3% 2.3 38
39 0.0% 0.0 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0