St. Mary's (Cal.)
Men - Women
2013 - 2014 - 2015
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
1,514  Alicia Doohan SR 22:05
1,605  Ali Teliha SO 22:10
1,720  Kim Avalos SO 22:16
1,894  Nyralee Chhotu SO 22:28
2,150  Carina Novell JR 22:43
2,414  Isabella Navarro SO 23:01
2,506  Alyssa`` Gutcher-Cerminara SO 23:08
National Rank #237 of 341
West Region Rank #33 of 39
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 34th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.0%
Top 20 in Regional 0.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Alicia Doohan Ali Teliha Kim Avalos Nyralee Chhotu Carina Novell Isabella Navarro Alyssa`` Gutcher-Cerminara
Bronco Invitational 10/18 1272 22:15 22:04 22:18 22:53 22:24
West Coast Championships 11/01 1271 22:04 22:03 22:13 22:31 22:55 22:56 23:58
West Region Championships 11/14 1263 21:53 22:29 22:23 22:15 24:17 22:40





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 33.4 964 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.2 5.6 8.8



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Alicia Doohan 175.1
Ali Teliha 182.6
Kim Avalos 190.1
Nyralee Chhotu 202.9
Carina Novell 217.5
Isabella Navarro 232.9
Alyssa`` Gutcher-Cerminara 237.2




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 0.0% 0.0 25
26 0.1% 0.1 26
27 0.4% 0.4 27
28 1.1% 1.1 28
29 2.2% 2.2 29
30 5.6% 5.6 30
31 8.8% 8.8 31
32 14.2% 14.2 32
33 16.7% 16.7 33
34 18.4% 18.4 34
35 15.1% 15.1 35
36 11.4% 11.4 36
37 6.1% 6.1 37
38 38
39 39
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0