Towson
Men - Women
2013 - 2014 - 2015
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
1,031  Elisabeth Tauber SR 21:35
1,112  Ashley Simmons SR 21:40
1,747  Kara Bucaro SR 22:18
2,223  Megan Knoblock SO 22:48
2,575  Kara Mueser FR 23:14
3,110  Kelsey Kollar JR 24:10
3,146  Colleen Cook FR 24:16
3,184  Michelle Vanagas SO 24:21
3,188  Emily Johnson FR 24:21
3,263  Jayne Cunha FR 24:34
3,493  Caitlin Adams FR 25:34
3,594  Jacqueline Mazer JR 26:07
3,688  Allyson Figalora SO 26:56
National Rank #240 of 341
Mid-Atlantic Region Rank #23 of 38
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 23rd at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.0%
Top 20 in Regional 10.1%


Race Performance Ratings



Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.



RaceDateTeam Rating Elisabeth Tauber Ashley Simmons Kara Bucaro Megan Knoblock Kara Mueser Kelsey Kollar Colleen Cook Michelle Vanagas Emily Johnson Jayne Cunha Caitlin Adams
Lehigh Paul Short Run (Gold) 10/04 1267 21:24 21:25 22:11 23:09 23:00 24:02 23:57 25:53 24:13 24:33
Penn State National 10/11 1308 21:35 22:18 22:57 22:53 24:05 23:54 23:53 23:29
Colonial Athletic Association Championship 11/01 1304 21:44 22:33 22:09 22:40 23:55 24:30 24:33 24:13 25:59 25:34
Mid-Atlantic Region Championships 11/14 1334 21:27 22:54 22:32 23:22 24:05 24:45 24:21





NCAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 22.9 672 0.1 0.3 1.2 3.2 5.2 11.1 17.7 25.3 20.3 9.3 3.5 1.7 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Elisabeth Tauber 83.9 0.0
Ashley Simmons 89.3
Kara Bucaro 138.9
Megan Knoblock 170.5
Kara Mueser 188.3
Kelsey Kollar 221.2
Colleen Cook 224.9




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 0.1% 0.1 16
17 0.3% 0.3 17
18 1.2% 1.2 18
19 3.2% 3.2 19
20 5.2% 5.2 20
21 11.1% 11.1 21
22 17.7% 17.7 22
23 25.3% 25.3 23
24 20.3% 20.3 24
25 9.3% 9.3 25
26 3.5% 3.5 26
27 1.7% 1.7 27
28 0.6% 0.6 28
29 0.3% 0.3 29
30 0.1% 0.1 30
31 0.0% 0.0 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points




At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.




Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0