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Individuals
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Individuals
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Teams
NCAA Tournament
Tournament Summary
Championship Selection
Tournament Points
Men
-
Women
Tournament Championship Summary
2013
-
2014
-
2015
Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.
Rank
School
Regional
Champion
Top 5
Top 10
Top 20
Advance to Nationals
1
Michigan State
Great Lakes
72.9%
99.3%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
2
Iowa State
Midwest
12.5%
89.7%
99.5%
100.0%
100.0%
3
Arkansas
South Central
9.1%
81.5%
97.8%
100.0%
100.0%
4
Georgetown
Mid-Atlantic
2.9%
57.0%
89.6%
99.5%
100.0%
5
Wisconsin
Great Lakes
0.6%
29.8%
77.1%
99.0%
100.0%
6
Michigan
Great Lakes
0.9%
9.3%
53.2%
96.7%
7
Oregon
West
0.8%
31.1%
71.5%
96.8%
99.8%
8
New Mexico
Mountain
0.7%
40.5%
82.0%
98.7%
100.0%
9
West Virginia
Mid-Atlantic
0.2%
13.4%
53.8%
94.2%
100.0%
10
Colorado
Mountain
0.1%
17.1%
56.8%
94.2%
99.5%
11
Stanford
West
0.1%
11.9%
49.6%
93.1%
99.5%
12
Boise State
West
0.1%
7.1%
39.9%
93.1%
98.5%
13
North Carolina
Southeast
0.0%
6.1%
34.5%
85.7%
99.4%
14
Iona
Northeast
1.3%
19.8%
83.0%
90.6%
15
Virginia
Southeast
4.6%
29.0%
82.1%
99.1%
16
William and Mary
Southeast
3.4%
22.4%
63.9%
74.4%
17
Florida State
South
0.0%
1.7%
15.4%
74.8%
100.0%
18
Baylor
South Central
0.4%
9.8%
66.0%
97.3%
19
Washington
West
1.0%
10.1%
56.7%
92.6%
20
Vanderbilt
South
1.2%
10.1%
52.3%
99.9%
21
Providence
Northeast
0.1%
3.8%
41.4%
68.3%
22
North Carolina St.
Southeast
0.6%
6.1%
46.3%
90.6%
23
Texas A&M
South Central
0.0%
0.1%
24
Arizona State
West
0.1%
1.2%
27.7%
69.6%
25
Dartmouth
Northeast
0.1%
3.6%
51.4%
26
Boston College
Northeast
0.3%
14.5%
57.3%
27
Syracuse
Northeast
0.0%
1.5%
23.3%
83.5%
28
Ohio State
Great Lakes
0.1%
1.7%
27.1%
88.8%
29
UCLA
West
0.1%
1.5%
22.6%
72.1%
30
BYU
Mountain
0.0%
1.3%
16.6%
58.7%
31
Minnesota
Midwest
0.1%
1.9%
26.6%
98.1%
32
Penn State
Mid-Atlantic
0.1%
1.2%
11.1%
30.3%
33
Princeton
Mid-Atlantic
0.3%
7.4%
28.2%
34
Virginia Tech
Southeast
0.0%
0.3%
5.9%
16.7%
35
Notre Dame
Great Lakes
0.2%
8.8%
65.7%
36
California
West
0.1%
5.0%
18.9%
37
Portland
West
0.2%
3.9%
17.1%
38
Toledo
Great Lakes
0.0%
0.4%
10.9%
74.9%
39
Lamar
South Central
0.0%
2.4%
17.0%
40
SMU
South Central
0.1%
2.2%
29.5%
41
Eastern Michigan
Great Lakes
0.3%
3.4%
42
Wyoming
Mountain
0.0%
0.5%
4.7%
43
Loyola Marymount
West
0.1%
1.3%
44
Connecticut
Northeast
0.1%
45
Rice
South Central
0.1%
0.6%
46
Missouri
Midwest
0.1%
2.6%
47
Indiana
Great Lakes
0.0%
1.0%
16.7%
48
Butler
Great Lakes
0.0%
0.5%
8.6%
49
Miss State
South
0.0%
50
Northern Arizona
Mountain
0.3%
3.1%
51
Alabama
South
0.3%
3.0%
52
Cornell
Northeast
0.2%
3.7%
53
Yale
Northeast
0.4%
8.1%
54
New Hampshire
Northeast
0.0%
0.6%
8.1%
55
Oklahoma State
Midwest
0.2%
6.4%
56
Columbia
Northeast
0.5%
10.1%
57
Arizona
West
0.1%
2.0%
58
Bradley
Midwest
0.4%
5.8%
59
San Francisco
West
0.0%
0.8%
60
Furman
Southeast
0.0%
0.5%
61
Eastern Kentucky
Southeast
0.0%
0.3%
62
Villanova
Mid-Atlantic
0.1%
2.0%
63
Wake Forest
Southeast
0.1%
64
Tulsa
Midwest
0.4%
8.5%
65
UC Davis
West
0.0%
0.5%
66
Tennessee
South
67
Elon
Southeast
0.0%
0.3%
68
Kansas State
Midwest
0.1%
69
Washington St.
West
0.2%
70
Brown
Northeast
0.1%
2.8%
71
Harvard
Northeast
0.1%
4.5%
72
Florida
South
0.8%
73
South Dakota
Midwest
0.0%
74
Lipscomb
South
1.0%
75
Eastern Washington
West
76
Utah
Mountain
0.0%
0.8%
77
Colorado St.
Mountain
0.4%
78
Miami (Ohio)
Great Lakes
0.1%
79
Northwestern
Midwest
80
Coastal Carolina
Southeast
81
Purdue
Great Lakes
0.0%
2.2%
82
Oklahoma
Midwest
0.1%
83
UC Riverside
West
84
Weber State
Mountain
0.1%
85
Boston U.
Northeast
0.0%
86
Auburn
South
0.5%
87
Gonzaga
West
88
UMKC
Midwest
89
Stony Brook
Northeast
90
Mid. Tenn. State
South
0.1%
91
Kentucky
Southeast
92
Texas
South Central
0.3%
93
Penn
Mid-Atlantic
0.2%
94
Texas Tech
Mountain
95
Lehigh
Mid-Atlantic
96
Duke
Southeast
0.1%
97
Nevada
Mountain
98
Illinois
Midwest
0.1%
99
Western Michigan
Great Lakes
100
Cal Poly
West
0.1%
101
James Madison
Southeast
102
North Dakota St.
Midwest
103
North Texas
South Central
104
UCF
South
105
Central Michigan
Great Lakes
106
Duquesne
Mid-Atlantic
0.0%
107
Western Kentucky
Southeast
108
Montana State
Mountain
0.0%
109
Louisville
Southeast
110
Sacramento St.
West
111
La Salle
Mid-Atlantic
112
Illinois State
Midwest
113
Northern Illinois
Midwest
114
Albany
Northeast
115
Southern Illinois
Midwest
0.0%
116
Georgia
South
117
Wichita State
Midwest
118
Northeastern
Northeast
119
Idaho State
Mountain
120
Georgia Tech
South
121
Appalachian State
Southeast
122
Marquette
Great Lakes
123
North Florida
South
124
Southern Utah
Mountain
125
Arkansas State
South Central
126
Texas-Arlington
South Central
127
Stephen F. Austin
South Central
0.0%
128
UC Santa Barbara
West
129
Air Force
Mountain
130
Morgan State
Mid-Atlantic
131
Pittsburgh
Mid-Atlantic
132
Army
Northeast
133
Bowling Green
Great Lakes
134
Kansas
Midwest
135
Navy
Mid-Atlantic
136
Bucknell
Mid-Atlantic
137
Cal St. Northridge
West
138
Fresno State
West
139
South Carolina
Southeast
140
Northern Iowa
Midwest
141
Northern Colorado
Mountain
142
Seattle U.
West
143
Oregon State
West
144
Nebraska
Midwest
145
Maryland-Eastern Shore
Mid-Atlantic
146
Portland State
West
147
USC
West
148
Loyola (Ill.)
Midwest
149
Liberty
Southeast
150
UMBC
Mid-Atlantic
151
Utah State
Mountain
152
Rutgers
Mid-Atlantic
153
Iowa
Midwest
0.0%
154
Clemson
Southeast
155
Davidson
Southeast
156
Belmont
South
157
UAB
South
158
UMass Amherst
Northeast
159
Rhode Island
Northeast
160
George Mason
Southeast
161
Utah Valley
Mountain
162
Sacred Heart
Northeast
163
Creighton
Midwest
164
Saint Louis
Midwest
165
South Dakota St.
Midwest
166
Chattanooga
South
167
Idaho
West
168
Montana
Mountain
169
Indiana State
Great Lakes
170
Kent State
Great Lakes
171
Richmond
Southeast
172
Quinnipiac
Northeast
173
Mississippi
South
174
South Florida
South
175
UTSA
South Central
176
Drake
Midwest
177
Marist
Northeast
178
San Diego
West
179
LSU
South Central
180
East Tenn. St.
South
181
Delaware
Mid-Atlantic
182
Memphis
South
183
Campbell
Southeast
184
Vermont
Northeast
185
Buffalo
Northeast
186
SE Missouri
Midwest
187
North Dakota
Midwest
188
Florida A&M
South
189
Georgia State
South
190
Youngstown St.
Great Lakes
191
Xavier (Ohio)
Great Lakes
192
Southern Miss.
South
193
New Mexico St.
Mountain
194
Houston
South Central
195
Maryland
Mid-Atlantic
196
Rider
Mid-Atlantic
197
Sam Houston St.
South Central
198
Eastern Illinois
Midwest
199
McNeese State
South Central
200
Illinois-Chicago
Midwest
201
Holy Cross
Northeast
202
IUPUI
Great Lakes
203
Central Connecticut
Northeast
204
San Diego St.
West
205
Samford
South
206
Tulane
South Central
207
Charlotte
Southeast
208
Radford
Southeast
209
UNLV
West
210
Cal St. Fullerton
West
211
St. Francis (Pa.)
Mid-Atlantic
212
Alabama State
South
213
Ohio U.
Great Lakes
214
Florida Atlantic
South
215
Fordham
Northeast
216
Col. of Charleston
Southeast
217
Oakland
Great Lakes
218
Akron
Great Lakes
219
TCU
South Central
220
UL-Lafayette
South Central
221
Monmouth
Mid-Atlantic
222
Dayton
Great Lakes
223
Wis.-Milwaukee
Great Lakes
224
Morehead State
Southeast
225
Arkansas-Little Rock
South Central
226
High Point
Southeast
227
San Jose St.
West
228
St. Bonaventure
Northeast
229
George Washington
Mid-Atlantic
230
Florida Gulf Coast
South
231
East Carolina
Southeast
232
Canisius
Northeast
233
Kennesaw State
South
234
Long Beach St.
West
235
DePaul
Midwest
236
Murray State
Southeast
237
St. Mary's (Cal.)
West
238
UNC-Asheville
Southeast
239
Binghamton
Northeast
240
Towson
Mid-Atlantic
241
Bryant
Northeast
242
Valparaiso
Great Lakes
243
American
Mid-Atlantic
244
Santa Clara
West
245
Pepperdine
West
246
St. Joseph's (Pa.)
Mid-Atlantic
247
Texas A&M-CC
South Central
248
Fairfield
Northeast
249
South Alabama
South
250
Texas State
South Central
251
Loyola (Md.)
Mid-Atlantic
252
Detroit
Great Lakes
253
Hartford
Northeast
254
IPFW
Great Lakes
255
UC Irvine
West
256
UNC-Wilmington
Southeast
257
Siena
Northeast
258
Cincinnati
Great Lakes
259
Pacific
West
260
VCU
Southeast
261
Lafayette
Mid-Atlantic
262
Houston Baptist
South Central
263
SIU-Edwardsville
Midwest
264
Jacksonville
South
265
Howard
Mid-Atlantic
266
Wright State
Great Lakes
267
Troy
South
268
Wagner
Northeast
269
St. John's
Northeast
270
Stetson
South
271
Mercer
South
272
Ball State
Great Lakes
273
Central Arkansas
South Central
274
Evansville
Great Lakes
275
Western Carolina
Southeast
276
UNC-Greensboro
Southeast
277
Manhattan
Northeast
278
Maine
Northeast
279
Temple
Mid-Atlantic
280
Hampton
Southeast
281
Seton Hall
Mid-Atlantic
282
Va. Military Institute
Southeast
283
UTEP
Mountain
284
Mount St. Mary's
Mid-Atlantic
285
Robert Morris
Mid-Atlantic
286
Marshall
Mid-Atlantic
287
Wis.-Green Bay
Great Lakes
288
Delaware State
Mid-Atlantic
289
Austin Peay
South
290
Colgate
Northeast
291
Cleveland St.
Great Lakes
292
Missouri State
Midwest
293
Citadel
Southeast
294
Northwestern St.
South Central
295
USC Upstate
Southeast
296
Texas-Pan American
South Central
297
Winthrop
Southeast
298
Hawaii
West
299
SE Louisiana
South Central
300
Gardner-Webb
Southeast
301
Niagara
Northeast
302
Charleston Southern
Southeast
303
Cal St. Bakersfield
West
304
Wofford
Southeast
305
Hofstra
Northeast
306
Georgia Southern
South
307
Miami
South
308
South Carolina St.
Southeast
309
Western Illinois
Midwest
310
Tennessee Tech
South
311
Norfolk State
Southeast
312
Jacksonville St.
South
313
N. Carolina A&T
Southeast
314
Tennessee-Martin
South
315
Bethune-Cookman
South
316
Oral Roberts
Midwest
317
Coppin State
Mid-Atlantic
318
Tennessee St.
South
319
Florida Int'l
South
320
Presbyterian
Southeast
321
Nicholls State
South Central
322
UL-Monroe
South Central
323
Prairie View
South Central
324
Longwood
Southeast
325
St. Francis (N.Y.)
Northeast
326
N.C. Central
Southeast
327
Texas Southern
South Central
328
Grambling
South Central
329
Alabama A&M
South
330
Fairleigh Dickinson
Mid-Atlantic
331
Alcorn State
South
332
New Orleans
South Central
333
New Jersey Institute
Mid-Atlantic
334
LIU Brooklyn
Northeast
335
Louisiana Tech
South Central
336
Chicago State
Midwest
337
Southern
South Central
338
Mississippi Valley
South
339
St. Peter's
Mid-Atlantic
340
Savannah State
South
341
Jackson State
South
342
100.0%
343
100.0%
344
100.0%
345
100.0%
346
100.0%
347
100.0%
348
100.0%
349
100.0%
350
100.0%
351
100.0%
352
100.0%
353
100.0%
354
100.0%
355
100.0%
356
100.0%
357
100.0%
358
100.0%
359
100.0%
360
100.0%
361
100.0%
362
100.0%
363
100.0%
364
100.0%
365
100.0%
366
100.0%
367
100.0%
368
100.0%
369
100.0%
370
100.0%
371
100.0%
372
100.0%
373
100.0%
374
100.0%
375
100.0%
376
100.0%
377
100.0%
378
100.0%
379
100.0%
380
100.0%
381
100.0%
382
100.0%
383
100.0%
384
100.0%
385
100.0%
386
100.0%
387
100.0%
388
100.0%
389
100.0%
390
100.0%
391
100.0%
392
100.0%
393
100.0%
394
100.0%
395
100.0%
396
100.0%
397
100.0%
398
100.0%
399
100.0%
400
100.0%