Arizona
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
224  Claire Green SO 20:24
240  Addi Zerrenner FR 20:26
357  Molly Callahan SR 20:41
703  Kayla Ferron SO 21:12
1,139  Kate Penney SR 21:45
1,270  Kirsten Vergara FR 21:53
1,424  McKenna Gaffney JR 22:04
2,280  Taryn Estavillo FR 23:05
National Rank #72 of 339
West Region Rank #12 of 39
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 13th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.2%
Top 10 in Regional 17.9%
Top 20 in Regional 99.9%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Claire Green Addi Zerrenner Molly Callahan Kayla Ferron Kate Penney Kirsten Vergara McKenna Gaffney Taryn Estavillo
Roy Griak Invitational 09/26 916 20:14 20:11 27:54 21:04 21:21 21:44 21:48 23:17
D1 Pre-Nationals (Black) 10/17 931 20:20 20:45 20:22 21:34 21:36 22:06 21:46
ASU Invitational 10/23 1303 21:07 22:11 21:55 22:53
Pac 12 Championships 10/30 926 20:37 20:31 20:19 21:17 21:53 21:43 22:18
West Region Championships 11/13 904 20:28 20:20 20:29 21:10 22:24 22:00 22:58





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0% 30.0 718 0.0
Region Championship 100% 12.9 383 0.2 0.9 1.4 2.9 4.8 7.6 10.5 13.6 15.7 15.1 12.7 8.9 3.5 1.5 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Claire Green 3.7% 118.8
Addi Zerrenner 2.5% 134.5
Molly Callahan 0.2% 179.0
Kayla Ferron 0.0% 234.5
Kate Penney 0.0% 244.5
Kirsten Vergara 0.0% 249.5
McKenna Gaffney 0.0% 247.5


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Claire Green 39.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.7 1.1 0.9 1.3 1.1 1.3 1.5 1.4 1.8 1.6
Addi Zerrenner 41.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.7 1.0 0.8 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.6
Molly Callahan 58.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2
Kayla Ferron 97.3
Kate Penney 146.5
Kirsten Vergara 160.0
McKenna Gaffney 175.9




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 0.2% 0.2 5
6 0.9% 2.2% 0.0 0.9 0.0 6
7 1.4% 1.4 7
8 2.9% 2.9 8
9 4.8% 4.8 9
10 7.6% 7.6 10
11 10.5% 10.5 11
12 13.6% 13.6 12
13 15.7% 15.7 13
14 15.1% 15.1 14
15 12.7% 12.7 15
16 8.9% 8.9 16
17 3.5% 3.5 17
18 1.5% 1.5 18
19 0.4% 0.4 19
20 0.1% 0.1 20
21 0.1% 0.1 21
22 0.0% 0.0 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
San Francisco 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 1.0