Baylor
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
44  Maggie Montoya JR 19:46
221  Peyton Thomas JR 20:24
728  Alex Davis JR 21:14
780  Chelsea Orr SR 21:18
1,048  Ann Marie Dunlap SO 21:38
1,164  Madison Zimmerman SO 21:47
2,057  Aubree Miller SO 22:46
2,190  Leila Rohde SR 22:57
National Rank #63 of 339
South Central Region Rank #2 of 34
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 11.7%
Most Likely Finish 4th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 70.4%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Maggie Montoya Peyton Thomas Alex Davis Chelsea Orr Ann Marie Dunlap Madison Zimmerman Aubree Miller Leila Rohde
Roy Griak Invitational 09/26 19:40 20:11 21:08 21:25
Chile Pepper Festival 10/02 1382 21:54 22:56
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/16 844 19:26 20:21 21:03 21:19 21:34 23:05 23:20
Big 12 Championships 10/31 1020 19:53 21:15 21:33 21:34 21:39 21:50 23:05 22:47
South Central Region Championships 11/13 871 19:55 20:15 21:24 20:55 21:44 21:44 22:58
NCAA Championship 11/21 20:00





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 11.7% 29.9 729 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.7 2.1 3.2 4.9
Region Championship 100% 4.5 158 0.0 11.7 18.9 20.1 19.7 16.9 11.5 1.2 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Maggie Montoya 97.9% 49.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.8 0.8 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.5 1.3 1.2 0.9 1.1 1.1 1.0
Peyton Thomas 27.5% 139.6 0.0
Alex Davis 11.7% 232.8
Chelsea Orr 11.7% 236.7
Ann Marie Dunlap 11.7% 247.5
Madison Zimmerman 11.7% 249.7
Aubree Miller 12.1% 252.5


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Maggie Montoya 2.8 2.1 28.0 25.0 16.1 10.8 6.9 4.4 2.9 1.6 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1
Peyton Thomas 12.0 0.0 0.3 1.3 2.5 4.0 5.3 6.3 7.2 7.6 8.4 7.2 7.3 6.2 5.6 4.9 4.6 3.9 3.4 2.6 2.1 1.8 1.5 1.3 1.0
Alex Davis 40.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.9 0.9 0.9
Chelsea Orr 43.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.6
Ann Marie Dunlap 57.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Madison Zimmerman 64.4 0.0
Aubree Miller 113.0




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 0.0% 100.0% 0.0 0.0 1
2 11.7% 100.0% 11.7 11.7 2
3 18.9% 0.1% 0.0 18.8 0.0 3
4 20.1% 20.1 4
5 19.7% 19.7 5
6 16.9% 16.9 6
7 11.5% 11.5 7
8 1.2% 1.2 8
9 0.0% 0.0 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
Total 100% 11.7% 0.0 11.7 0.0 88.3 11.7 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
SMU 21.4% 1.0 0.2
Ohio State 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.2
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 2.0