Illinois
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
14  Alyssa Schneider SR 19:29
454  Britten Petrey SR 20:51
621  Hanna Winter JR 21:06
687  Valerie Bobart JR 21:11
768  Denise Branch SO 21:17
791  Audrey Blazek SO 21:19
1,630  Nicole Choquette SO 22:18
1,635  Megan Lemersal JR 22:18
1,932  Kim Seger JR 22:38
2,582  Lindsey Rakosnik SR 23:34
2,823  Elena Palacios SO 24:09
3,115  Kristina Kladar FR 25:18
National Rank #69 of 339
Midwest Region Rank #8 of 36
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 1.0%
Most Likely Finish 8th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 12.3%
Top 10 in Regional 88.3%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Alyssa Schneider Britten Petrey Hanna Winter Valerie Bobart Denise Branch Audrey Blazek Nicole Choquette Megan Lemersal Kim Seger Lindsey Rakosnik Elena Palacios
Roy Griak Invitational 09/26 835 19:30 20:37 20:46 21:06 21:10 21:19 22:49
D1 Pre-Nationals (Red) 10/17 1142 21:20 20:57 21:13 21:26 21:12 22:27 22:35
Illini Open 10/23 1264 20:59 22:14 22:33 22:45 23:36 24:10
Big Ten Championships 11/01 866 19:32 20:28 21:16 21:52 21:18 21:07 22:31 21:55 22:22
Midwest Region Championships 11/13 939 19:37 21:01 21:38 20:56 21:19 22:01 22:16
NCAA Championship 11/21 19:25





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 1.0% 28.5 714 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1
Region Championship 100% 8.0 275 0.5 3.5 8.3 13.4 17.4 19.4 16.0 9.9 5.7 2.8 1.4 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Alyssa Schneider 94.5% 20.3 0.2 0.8 1.7 2.3 2.5 2.4 2.6 2.5 2.8 3.1 2.9 2.9 3.1 2.7 2.2 2.4 2.7 2.6 2.2 1.9 2.0 1.7 1.8 2.0 1.5
Britten Petrey 1.0% 193.0
Hanna Winter 1.0% 215.0
Valerie Bobart 1.0% 228.5
Denise Branch 1.0% 233.0
Audrey Blazek 1.0% 232.5
Nicole Choquette 1.0% 252.0


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Alyssa Schneider 1.8 30.3 24.0 15.9 8.8 5.9 4.2 3.2 2.2 1.5 1.3 0.8 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
Britten Petrey 48.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.6 0.7
Hanna Winter 68.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1
Valerie Bobart 75.8 0.0 0.1
Denise Branch 85.2
Audrey Blazek 87.5
Nicole Choquette 174.0




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 0.5% 82.6% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 3
4 3.5% 18.8% 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 2.9 0.7 4
5 8.3% 8.3 5
6 13.4% 13.4 6
7 17.4% 17.4 7
8 19.4% 19.4 8
9 16.0% 16.0 9
10 9.9% 9.9 10
11 5.7% 5.7 11
12 2.8% 2.8 12
13 1.4% 1.4 13
14 1.0% 1.0 14
15 0.4% 0.4 15
16 0.2% 0.2 16
17 17
18 0.2% 0.2 18
19 0.0% 0.0 19
20 0.0% 0.0 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
Total 100% 1.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 99.0 0.0 1.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Indiana 5.9% 1.0 0.1
San Francisco 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.1
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 1.0