Minnesota
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
73  Liz Berkholtz SR 19:56
113  Haley Johnson JR 20:03
211  Kaila Urick SR 20:22
215  Madeline Strandemo SO 20:23
383  Jamie Piepenburg JR 20:44
556  Emily Betz FR 20:59
643  Tamara Gorman FR 21:07
711  Patty O'Brien FR 21:13
723  Stacey Swatek SR 21:14
National Rank #23 of 339
Midwest Region Rank #3 of 36
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 94.8%
Most Likely Finish 25th at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.3%
Top 10 at Nationals 3.5%
Top 20 at Nationals 36.4%


Regional Champion 6.2%
Top 5 in Regional 98.8%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Liz Berkholtz Haley Johnson Kaila Urick Madeline Strandemo Jamie Piepenburg Emily Betz Tamara Gorman Patty O'Brien Stacey Swatek
Roy Griak Invitational 09/26 605 20:06 19:54 20:26 20:25 20:38 21:29 21:18 20:52
BluGold Invitational 10/02 1267
Greater Louisville Classic (Gold) 10/03 678 20:11 20:14 20:33 20:28 20:31 21:06 21:15 21:50
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/16 619 19:52 20:09 20:21 20:22 20:59 21:00 20:53
Big Ten Championships 11/01 541 19:52 20:11 20:02 20:14 20:47 20:57 20:56 21:10 21:12
Midwest Region Championships 11/13 657 20:00 20:02 20:26 20:38 20:46 21:01 21:14
NCAA Championship 11/21 589 19:44 19:55 20:27 20:25 20:50 21:08 21:14





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 94.8% 21.7 531 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.6 1.8 2.3 2.6 3.0 3.3 3.8 4.2 5.2 5.2 6.1 5.9 5.6 6.0 6.8 6.3 6.2 5.7 4.9 3.9 1.0
Region Championship 100% 2.9 118 6.2 23.9 54.3 11.3 3.1 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Liz Berkholtz 95.0% 73.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.5
Haley Johnson 94.9% 96.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3
Kaila Urick 94.9% 151.8
Madeline Strandemo 94.8% 155.8
Jamie Piepenburg 94.8% 203.5
Emily Betz 94.8% 228.8
Tamara Gorman 94.8% 237.3


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Liz Berkholtz 9.3 1.2 2.5 4.4 6.0 6.7 6.2 6.1 7.6 7.2 6.5 6.2 5.1 5.0 4.7 3.9 3.8 3.5 2.3 2.3 1.9 1.6 1.3 0.9 0.7 0.5
Haley Johnson 12.7 0.4 0.7 1.3 2.5 3.7 4.8 4.4 4.6 6.2 5.8 5.6 5.9 5.6 6.0 4.9 4.9 4.4 3.8 3.4 3.5 3.0 2.4 2.0 1.7 1.2
Kaila Urick 23.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.1 1.4 2.0 2.1 2.2 2.7 3.1 3.4 4.1 4.4 4.2 4.0 4.7 4.6 4.3 4.2
Madeline Strandemo 24.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.9 1.2 1.4 1.7 2.1 2.4 3.0 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.1 4.1 4.7 4.3 4.8 4.7
Jamie Piepenburg 41.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.8 1.1 1.0 1.4
Emily Betz 58.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1
Tamara Gorman 69.9 0.0 0.0 0.1




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 6.2% 100.0% 6.2 6.2 1
2 23.9% 100.0% 23.9 23.9 2
3 54.3% 97.9% 0.3 0.5 1.9 4.0 7.9 9.3 8.7 7.2 5.3 3.2 2.3 1.3 1.2 1.1 53.1 3
4 11.3% 94.0% 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.7 1.4 1.4 1.5 1.7 1.5 1.2 0.5 0.3 0.7 10.6 4
5 3.1% 31.6% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 2.1 1.0 5
6 0.9% 0.9 6
7 0.3% 0.3 7
8 0.0% 0.0 8
9 0.0% 0.0 9
10 0.0% 0.0 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
Total 100% 94.8% 6.2 23.9 0.3 0.6 2.1 4.2 8.7 10.7 10.0 8.8 7.0 4.9 3.8 2.0 1.6 5.2 30.1 64.7




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Vanderbilt 92.1% 1.0 0.9
Purdue 53.2% 1.0 0.5
Weber State 40.5% 1.0 0.4
William and Mary 40.1% 1.0 0.4
North Carolina 39.3% 1.0 0.4
Columbia 26.3% 1.0 0.3
SMU 21.4% 1.0 0.2
Baylor 11.7% 1.0 0.1
West Virginia 10.3% 1.0 0.1
Colorado St. 8.8% 1.0 0.1
Wisconsin 8.6% 3.0 0.3
Arizona State 8.4% 1.0 0.1
Lipscomb 6.0% 1.0 0.1
Florida State 5.9% 1.0 0.1
Indiana 5.9% 2.0 0.1
California 5.3% 1.0 0.1
Tulsa 3.8% 1.0 0.0
Mississippi 3.3% 1.0 0.0
Harvard 3.0% 1.0 0.0
Dartmouth 2.9% 1.0 0.0
Boston College 1.4% 1.0 0.0
Northern Arizona 1.3% 1.0 0.0
San Francisco 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Ohio State 0.1% 3.0 0.0
Eastern Kentucky 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 4.2
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 13.0