Montana
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
66  Makena Morley FR 19:54
1,058  Emily Pittis FR 21:39
1,129  Reagan Colyer SO 21:44
1,341  Lauryn Wate JR 21:58
1,391  Jessica Bailey FR 22:02
1,625  Heather Fraley SR 22:18
1,626  Emily Cheroske SO 22:18
1,804  Bridget Creel FR 22:29
National Rank #108 of 339
Mountain Region Rank #13 of 20
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 16th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.4%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Makena Morley Emily Pittis Reagan Colyer Lauryn Wate Jessica Bailey Heather Fraley Emily Cheroske Bridget Creel
Montana Invitational 10/03 1251 22:05 21:48 22:24 22:03 22:08 22:20 22:16
D1 Pre-Nationals (Red) 10/17 20:08
Inland Empire Championships 10/17 1225 21:21 21:27 21:43 22:22 22:11 22:19 23:06
Big Sky Championships 10/31 1027 19:37 21:41 21:58 22:00 21:46 22:52 22:20
Mountain Region Championships 11/13 19:51
NCAA Championship 11/21 20:03





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 15.0 417 0.1 0.3 1.9 6.9 12.2 17.1 18.5 19.3 16.2 7.1 0.4



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Makena Morley 76.2% 67.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Makena Morley 13.5 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.9 1.8 2.1 3.7 5.4 5.9 6.3 6.4 7.0 6.3 6.2 5.7 5.1 4.3 3.9 3.7 3.4 3.3 2.7 2.5 1.7 1.5
Emily Pittis 92.4
Reagan Colyer 96.9
Lauryn Wate 106.9
Jessica Bailey 109.9
Heather Fraley 118.0
Emily Cheroske 118.4




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 0.1% 0.1 9
10 0.3% 0.3 10
11 1.9% 1.9 11
12 6.9% 6.9 12
13 12.2% 12.2 13
14 17.1% 17.1 14
15 18.5% 18.5 15
16 19.3% 19.3 16
17 16.2% 16.2 17
18 7.1% 7.1 18
19 0.4% 0.4 19
20 20
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0