Rider
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
296  Emily Ritter SR 20:34
359  Nicolette Mateescu SR 20:41
1,065  Megan McGarrity JR 21:39
1,684  Katie Kinkead SR 22:22
1,840  Stephanie Welte SR 22:31
2,020  Alex Santora SO 22:44
2,619  Lexie Taylor SO 23:38
2,623  Katie Chinery FR 23:39
3,169  Ariana Gagliardi JR 25:43
3,216  Rebecca Arnold FR 26:03
3,248  Gabriella Vassalotti FR 26:17
3,304  Briann Downes SO 26:50
3,312  Hannah Gallo FR 26:56
National Rank #123 of 339
Mid-Atlantic Region Rank #12 of 37
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 14th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 5.0%
Top 20 in Regional 99.9%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Emily Ritter Nicolette Mateescu Megan McGarrity Katie Kinkead Stephanie Welte Alex Santora Lexie Taylor Katie Chinery Ariana Gagliardi Rebecca Arnold Gabriella Vassalotti
Paul Short Invitational (Gold) 10/02 1808 25:19 26:15 25:16
Leopard Invitational 10/17 25:40 25:23
Princeton Invitational 10/17 1077 20:34 20:34 21:40 22:24 22:17 23:27 24:09
MAAC Championships 10/31 1151 20:56 20:47 21:43 22:35 22:22 22:39 23:54 23:40 26:26 26:20 27:32
Mid-Atlantic Region Championships 11/13 1078 20:21 20:47 21:38 22:09 23:22 22:52 23:17





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 14.4 419 0.3 1.3 3.4 6.3 9.9 13.4 16.8 14.5 13.4 11.0 6.8 2.6 0.4 0.1 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Emily Ritter 7.1% 161.9
Nicolette Mateescu 2.1% 181.8


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Emily Ritter 26.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.7 1.1 1.6 1.8 2.1 2.3 2.2 2.5 3.2 3.5 3.6 3.9 3.6 3.5 3.8 3.6
Nicolette Mateescu 32.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.7 1.0 1.3 1.4 1.7 2.2 2.2 2.5 2.4 3.0 3.1 3.2
Megan McGarrity 86.9
Katie Kinkead 130.4
Stephanie Welte 140.0
Alex Santora 152.0
Lexie Taylor 186.5




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 0.3% 0.3 8
9 1.3% 1.3 9
10 3.4% 3.4 10
11 6.3% 6.3 11
12 9.9% 9.9 12
13 13.4% 13.4 13
14 16.8% 16.8 14
15 14.5% 14.5 15
16 13.4% 13.4 16
17 11.0% 11.0 17
18 6.8% 6.8 18
19 2.6% 2.6 19
20 0.4% 0.4 20
21 0.1% 0.1 21
22 22
23 0.0% 0.0 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0