Siena
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
915  Shannon Bauer JR 21:28
1,407  Christie MacFarlane SR 22:03
1,828  Sarah Forman FR 22:30
1,923  Dominica Bleichert SO 22:37
2,358  Sydney Sericolo JR 23:11
2,677  Serena Rizzo FR 23:47
2,933  Meghan McDonough FR 24:31
3,033  Annica Penn JR 24:53
3,116  Ursula Svoboda JR 25:19
3,121  Erin Morrell SO 25:20
3,139  Gina D'Angelo SO 25:27
3,185  Kristen Lancto SR 25:46
National Rank #234 of 339
Northeast Region Rank #30 of 43
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 32nd at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.0%
Top 20 in Regional 0.1%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Shannon Bauer Christie MacFarlane Sarah Forman Dominica Bleichert Sydney Sericolo Serena Rizzo Meghan McDonough Annica Penn Ursula Svoboda Erin Morrell Gina D'Angelo
Paul Short Invitational (Gold) 10/02 1847 24:48 25:41
Paul Short Invitational (Brown) 10/02 1274 21:48 22:06 22:28 22:35 23:02 24:50 24:30
Ualbany Invite 10/17 1288 21:27 21:58 22:30 22:56 23:30 24:18 24:18 24:54 24:46 25:36
MAAC Championships 10/31 1261 21:08 22:02 22:29 22:40 23:18 23:56 24:04 25:03 25:26 26:18 25:17
Northeast Region Championships 11/13 1276 21:35 22:16 22:45 22:25 23:02 23:17 25:08





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 30.5 881 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.9 1.5 2.7 5.0 7.4 10.4 13.4 18.3



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Shannon Bauer 105.8
Christie MacFarlane 154.6
Sarah Forman 190.7
Dominica Bleichert 199.5
Sydney Sericolo 232.1
Serena Rizzo 260.7
Meghan McDonough 278.3




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 0.0% 0.0 18
19 0.0% 0.0 19
20 0.0% 0.0 20
21 0.2% 0.2 21
22 0.3% 0.3 22
23 0.2% 0.2 23
24 0.9% 0.9 24
25 1.5% 1.5 25
26 2.7% 2.7 26
27 5.0% 5.0 27
28 7.4% 7.4 28
29 10.4% 10.4 29
30 13.4% 13.4 30
31 18.3% 18.3 31
32 18.4% 18.4 32
33 17.4% 17.4 33
34 3.1% 3.1 34
35 0.5% 0.5 35
36 0.2% 0.2 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0