Tulsa
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
85  Rachel Baptista SR 19:59
297  Nicole Lee SO 20:35
319  Stacie Taylor JR 20:37
480  Clara Langley JR 20:53
673  Danielle Medearis SO 21:10
847  Alyssa Bolliger FR 21:23
1,866  Emma Galbraith JR 22:33
National Rank #51 of 339
Midwest Region Rank #5 of 36
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 12.9%
Most Likely Finish 5th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.3%


Regional Champion 0.1%
Top 5 in Regional 52.6%
Top 10 in Regional 98.6%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Rachel Baptista Nicole Lee Stacie Taylor Clara Langley Danielle Medearis Alyssa Bolliger Emma Galbraith
Chile Pepper Festival 10/02 1071 20:44 21:13 21:05 20:51 21:22 21:56
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/16 830 19:39 20:40 20:50 20:47 21:12 22:47
American Athletic Conference Championship 10/31 912 20:24 20:38 20:33 21:00 21:23 21:15 22:35
Midwest Region Championships 11/13 717 19:47 20:18 20:30 20:44 20:58 21:45 22:41
NCAA Championship 11/21 803 19:54 20:26 20:24 21:17 21:13 21:44 22:39





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 12.9% 27.6 673 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.8 0.9 1.1 1.9 2.2 3.4 0.9
Region Championship 100% 5.7 212 0.1 0.4 4.6 21.8 25.8 20.4 12.7 7.3 4.1 1.4 0.9 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Rachel Baptista 23.1% 62.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1
Nicole Lee 12.9% 168.1
Stacie Taylor 12.9% 174.8
Clara Langley 12.9% 206.2
Danielle Medearis 12.9% 231.8
Alyssa Bolliger 12.9% 243.0
Emma Galbraith 13.2% 252.4


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Rachel Baptista 10.9 0.8 1.4 3.1 4.9 5.1 5.4 5.6 5.9 6.1 6.1 6.3 5.2 5.1 5.3 5.0 4.6 3.3 3.4 2.6 2.7 1.9 2.0 1.6 1.3 0.8
Nicole Lee 32.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.5 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.5 2.0 1.9 1.9 2.3 2.4 2.6 3.0
Stacie Taylor 35.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.8 1.1 0.9 1.6 1.6 2.2 2.3 2.3
Clara Langley 50.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4
Danielle Medearis 75.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Alyssa Bolliger 93.5
Emma Galbraith 189.8




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 0.1% 100.0% 0.1 0.1 1
2 0.4% 100.0% 0.4 0.4 2
3 4.6% 79.9% 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.9 3.7 3
4 21.8% 31.5% 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 0.9 1.0 0.9 0.7 0.9 0.4 0.6 14.9 6.9 4
5 25.8% 7.4% 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.5 23.9 1.9 5
6 20.4% 20.4 6
7 12.7% 12.7 7
8 7.3% 7.3 8
9 4.1% 4.1 9
10 1.4% 1.4 10
11 0.9% 0.9 11
12 0.3% 0.3 12
13 0.2% 0.2 13
14 0.1% 0.1 14
15 0.1% 0.1 15
16 0.0% 0.0 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
Total 100% 12.9% 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.0 1.4 1.4 1.7 1.5 1.2 1.2 0.9 1.2 87.1 0.4 12.4




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
SMU 21.4% 2.0 0.4
Baylor 11.7% 1.0 0.1
Boston College 1.4% 1.0 0.0
Ohio State 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Connecticut 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.6
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 3.0