Vanderbilt
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
36  Caroline Pietrzyk FR 19:42
174  Vanessa Valentine SR 20:14
204  Carmen Carlos JR 20:20
232  Sara Tsai FR 20:25
259  Sara Barron SR 20:29
381  Reagan Anderson JR 20:44
391  Maddie Criscione SO 20:44
540  Lily Williams JR 20:58
758  Megan Huebner SO 21:16
838  Courtney Kriegshauser SO 21:23
839  Ginger Hutton FR 21:23
1,695  Devon Grisbaum FR 22:22
National Rank #20 of 339
South Region Rank #2 of 46
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 93.2%
Most Likely Finish 23rd at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.8%
Top 10 at Nationals 6.7%
Top 20 at Nationals 46.5%


Regional Champion 27.7%
Top 5 in Regional 97.9%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Caroline Pietrzyk Vanessa Valentine Carmen Carlos Sara Tsai Sara Barron Reagan Anderson Maddie Criscione Lily Williams Megan Huebner Courtney Kriegshauser Ginger Hutton
Joe Piane Notre Dame Invitational (Blue) 10/02 571 19:58 20:14 20:31 20:21 20:16 20:26 20:51 21:04 20:39
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/16 706 19:51 20:51 20:38 20:24 20:30 20:45 21:09
SEC Championships 10/30 588 19:36 20:23 20:09 20:28 20:59 20:45 20:38 20:42 23:08 21:25 21:25
South Region Championships 11/13 424 19:35 19:54 20:00 20:23 20:19 21:03 20:33
NCAA Championship 11/21 583 19:36 20:06 20:25 20:31 20:35 21:01 21:11





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 93.2% 20.0 498 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.2 1.8 2.4 2.8 2.6 3.0 3.7 4.3 4.7 5.0 5.5 5.6 5.5 5.6 5.7 5.6 5.5 5.3 4.6 3.7 2.6 2.2 0.4
Region Championship 100% 2.3 98 27.7 35.9 21.2 8.9 4.1 1.4 0.6 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Caroline Pietrzyk 97.2% 42.4 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.7 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.1 0.8 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.4 1.5 1.4 1.1 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.5 1.3 1.4 1.6
Vanessa Valentine 93.2% 131.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Carmen Carlos 93.2% 148.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Sara Tsai 93.2% 159.8
Sara Barron 93.2% 170.9
Reagan Anderson 93.2% 204.1
Maddie Criscione 93.2% 205.7


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Caroline Pietrzyk 3.1 13.4 19.0 16.0 12.7 9.4 6.9 5.5 4.0 3.7 2.1 1.8 1.4 1.0 0.9 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Vanessa Valentine 16.7 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.1 1.9 1.8 2.7 3.4 3.7 3.9 4.3 4.5 4.8 3.8 5.0 5.3 4.2 4.6 4.0 4.0 4.0 3.2 3.4 3.1 2.8
Carmen Carlos 20.9 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.8 0.9 1.4 2.1 2.1 2.6 3.3 3.3 3.8 4.1 4.3 4.0 3.6 3.9 4.4 4.3 4.2 3.6 3.6 3.8
Sara Tsai 24.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.0 1.1 1.4 1.3 1.8 2.2 2.4 2.4 3.1 3.4 3.2 3.7 4.0 4.4 3.8 3.8 4.2 3.9
Sara Barron 27.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.8 0.8 1.2 1.4 1.8 2.0 2.2 2.2 2.5 2.8 2.6 3.3 3.4 3.5 4.1 3.8
Reagan Anderson 40.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.7 1.0 0.7 1.0 1.4 1.3 1.6
Maddie Criscione 42.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.8 0.7 1.0 1.3 1.1




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 27.7% 100.0% 27.7 27.7 1
2 35.9% 100.0% 35.9 35.9 2
3 21.2% 95.9% 0.2 0.5 1.9 3.0 3.1 3.1 2.4 1.6 1.6 1.0 0.8 0.5 0.6 0.9 20.3 3
4 8.9% 90.7% 0.1 0.1 0.8 0.8 1.5 1.0 0.7 1.1 0.7 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.8 8.0 4
5 4.1% 24.6% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 3.1 1.0 5
6 1.4% 5.6% 0.0 0.0 1.4 0.1 6
7 0.6% 0.6 7
8 0.1% 0.1 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
Total 100% 93.2% 27.7 35.9 0.2 0.6 2.0 3.8 4.0 4.7 3.7 2.4 2.8 1.8 1.4 1.1 1.0 6.8 63.7 29.5




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Utah 63.8% 1.0 0.6
Purdue 53.2% 1.0 0.5
Alabama 41.4% 1.0 0.4
North Carolina 39.3% 1.0 0.4
SMU 21.4% 2.0 0.4
Auburn 13.8% 1.0 0.1
Baylor 11.7% 1.0 0.1
West Virginia 10.3% 1.0 0.1
Colorado St. 8.8% 1.0 0.1
Wisconsin 8.6% 1.0 0.1
Arizona State 8.4% 2.0 0.2
Texas A&M 8.2% 2.0 0.2
Florida State 5.9% 1.0 0.1
Indiana 5.9% 1.0 0.1
Tulsa 3.8% 1.0 0.0
Mississippi 3.3% 1.0 0.0
Harvard 3.0% 1.0 0.0
Dartmouth 2.9% 1.0 0.0
Penn 1.8% 1.0 0.0
Florida 1.7% 2.0 0.0
Boston College 1.4% 1.0 0.0
Northern Arizona 1.3% 1.0 0.0
Bradley 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Missouri 0.3% 2.0 0.0
Eastern Michigan 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Ohio State 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 3.6
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 10.0