Wisconsin
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
71  Shaelyn Sorensen FR 19:55
228  Jamie Shannon SO 20:24
266  Michelle Lee JR 20:29
277  Sarah Heinemann JR 20:31
455  Grace Meurer SR 20:51
479  Erin Wagner FR 20:53
566  Colette Richter SO 21:00
810  Lianna Mack SO 21:21
913  Emma-Lisa Murphy SR 21:28
National Rank #33 of 339
Great Lakes Region Rank #5 of 34
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 32.8%
Most Likely Finish 5th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.4%
Top 20 at Nationals 9.0%


Regional Champion 0.4%
Top 5 in Regional 72.6%
Top 10 in Regional 99.9%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Shaelyn Sorensen Jamie Shannon Michelle Lee Sarah Heinemann Grace Meurer Erin Wagner Colette Richter Lianna Mack Emma-Lisa Murphy
Greater Louisville Classic (Gold) 10/03 852 20:25 20:26 20:41 20:41 21:19 21:04
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/16 767 19:52 20:11 20:26 21:32 21:46 21:14 21:14
Big Ten Championships 11/01 730 19:49 20:36 20:38 20:57 20:41 20:33 20:44 21:23 21:30
Great Lakes Region Championships 11/13 567 19:42 20:30 20:19 20:06 20:48 20:33 21:02
NCAA Championship 11/21 20:03





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 32.8% 23.4 568 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.9 1.0 1.2 1.3 1.8 1.9 1.8 2.0 2.2 2.5 2.3 2.8 2.5 2.8 2.3 0.7
Region Championship 100% 4.9 161 0.4 2.1 8.6 28.9 32.6 16.4 7.1 2.8 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Shaelyn Sorensen 74.6% 70.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.3
Jamie Shannon 34.0% 144.3
Michelle Lee 33.3% 158.5
Sarah Heinemann 33.1% 164.0
Grace Meurer 32.8% 207.9
Erin Wagner 32.8% 211.4
Colette Richter 32.8% 224.4


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Shaelyn Sorensen 9.4 1.2 3.3 5.7 7.5 8.1 7.8 7.5 6.5 6.6 6.2 5.1 4.4 4.2 3.6 3.3 3.2 2.4 1.8 1.9 1.9 1.4 1.4 1.0 0.7
Jamie Shannon 28.6 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.6 0.9 1.0 1.2 1.5 1.7 1.9 2.4 2.2 2.5 3.0 2.8 2.5 3.2 2.7 3.3 3.4
Michelle Lee 33.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.9 1.0 1.2 1.2 1.8 1.8 1.4 1.9 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.5
Sarah Heinemann 35.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 1.0 0.8 0.8 0.9 1.2 1.5 1.6 1.8 2.0 1.6 2.5 2.5
Grace Meurer 55.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2
Erin Wagner 56.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Colette Richter 64.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 0.4% 100.0% 0.4 0.4 1
2 2.1% 100.0% 2.1 2.1 2
3 8.6% 90.3% 0.4 0.3 0.8 1.1 1.1 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.6 0.1 0.8 7.8 3
4 28.9% 54.3% 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.8 1.6 2.5 2.6 3.0 2.8 1.3 13.2 15.7 4
5 32.6% 14.5% 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.8 1.3 1.9 27.8 4.7 5
6 16.4% 11.7% 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.8 14.5 1.9 6
7 7.1% 2.0% 0.0 0.1 7.0 0.1 7
8 2.8% 1.4% 0.0 0.0 2.7 0.0 8
9 0.8% 0.8 9
10 0.2% 0.2 10
11 0.1% 0.1 11
12 0.0% 0.0 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
Total 100% 32.8% 0.4 2.1 0.4 0.3 0.8 1.2 1.4 1.4 1.5 2.2 3.4 3.6 4.5 5.3 4.2 67.2 2.5 30.3




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Purdue 53.2% 1.0 0.5
SMU 21.4% 1.0 0.2
Baylor 11.7% 1.0 0.1
West Virginia 10.3% 1.0 0.1
Indiana 5.9% 1.0 0.1
Tulsa 3.8% 1.0 0.0
Mississippi 3.3% 1.0 0.0
Harvard 3.0% 1.0 0.0
Boston College 1.4% 1.0 0.0
Ohio State 0.1% 3.0 0.0
Eastern Kentucky 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 1.1
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 7.0