Boston College
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
87  Laura Hottenrott SR 19:59
151  Isabelle Kennedy FR 20:11
218  Danielle Winslow SR 20:23
604  Margaret Mullins JR 21:04
765  Amanda Rickert JR 21:17
868  Catherine Maloy JR 21:25
1,356  Ashbrook Gwinn SO 22:00
1,532  Madeline Adams SO 22:12
1,682  Clarissa Modde SO 22:21
National Rank #38 of 339
Northeast Region Rank #3 of 43
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 3.3%
Most Likely Finish 7th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.8%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 27.8%
Top 10 in Regional 94.8%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings



Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.



RaceDateTeam Rating Laura Hottenrott Isabelle Kennedy Danielle Winslow Margaret Mullins Amanda Rickert Catherine Maloy Ashbrook Gwinn Madeline Adams Clarissa Modde
Coast to Coast Battle in Beantown 09/25 965 20:12 20:44 21:00 21:24 21:08 21:51 22:18
NEICAAA Championship 10/10 944 20:30 20:33 20:38 21:06 21:24 21:41 22:07
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/16 816 19:50 20:03 20:56 21:13 21:29 21:27 21:52
ACC Championships 10/30 625 19:52 19:43 19:51 21:15 21:12 21:30 22:26 22:15 22:00
Northeast Region Championships 11/13 663 19:50 20:06 20:12 20:52 20:57 21:19 22:50





NCAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 3.3% 23.1 551 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.1
Region Championship 100% 6.9 210 0.0 1.3 5.3 9.1 12.1 15.2 15.6 15.6 12.8 7.9 3.6 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Laura Hottenrott 31.2% 69.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2
Isabelle Kennedy 9.7% 96.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Danielle Winslow 4.1% 121.0
Margaret Mullins 3.3% 209.8
Amanda Rickert 3.3% 230.3
Catherine Maloy 3.3% 240.3
Ashbrook Gwinn 3.3% 251.3


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Laura Hottenrott 10.8 0.8 2.0 2.8 3.6 4.5 5.1 5.5 6.5 6.6 6.7 7.4 6.5 5.8 5.9 5.5 5.0 3.6 3.2 2.6 2.2 1.6 1.3 1.2 0.9 0.8
Isabelle Kennedy 16.6 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.9 1.3 2.1 2.5 3.3 3.5 4.0 4.6 5.6 6.1 5.8 5.6 6.0 5.6 5.0 5.0 4.3 4.7 2.9 2.5 2.5
Danielle Winslow 23.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.5 2.0 2.2 2.9 3.2 4.3 4.3 4.8 5.1 4.4 5.0 5.2 4.1 4.3
Margaret Mullins 69.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1
Amanda Rickert 87.8 0.0
Catherine Maloy 101.2
Ashbrook Gwinn 149.7




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 0.0% 100.0% 0.0 0.0 1
2 1.3% 100.0% 1.3 1.3 2
3 5.3% 25.2% 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 4.0 1.3 3
4 9.1% 6.2% 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 8.5 0.6 4
5 12.1% 0.8% 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.0 0.1 5
6 15.2% 0.3% 0.0 0.0 15.2 0.0 6
7 15.6% 15.6 7
8 15.6% 15.6 8
9 12.8% 12.8 9
10 7.9% 7.9 10
11 3.6% 3.6 11
12 1.0% 1.0 12
13 0.4% 0.4 13
14 0.1% 0.1 14
15 0.0% 0.0 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
Total 100% 3.3% 0.0 1.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.0 96.7 1.3 2.0




Points




At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.




Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
SMU 21.4% 1.0 0.2
Baylor 11.7% 1.0 0.1
Florida State 5.9% 1.0 0.1
Ohio State 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Connecticut 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.4
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 2.0