Central Michigan
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
249  Kirsten Olling SO 20:28
451  Kelly Schubert JR 20:50
648  Megan O'Neil FR 21:07
661  Samantha Allmacher FR 21:09
860  Alyssa Dyer SR 21:24
1,414  Hannah Davis SO 22:04
1,644  Breanne Lesnar SR 22:19
1,661  Esther Bell JR 22:20
1,935  Michaela Bundy JR 22:38
National Rank #102 of 339
Great Lakes Region Rank #13 of 34
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 10th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.3%
Top 10 in Regional 43.6%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Kirsten Olling Kelly Schubert Megan O'Neil Samantha Allmacher Alyssa Dyer Hannah Davis Breanne Lesnar Esther Bell Michaela Bundy
Roy Griak Invitational 09/26 1056 20:33 20:37 21:52 21:08 22:16 22:15 22:20
D1 Pre-Nationals (Black) 10/17 1091 20:35 21:08 21:11 21:10 21:59 21:43 22:55
Mid American Conference Championships 10/31 986 20:23 20:46 20:58 21:13 21:04 22:12 22:25 22:15 22:39
Great Lakes Region Championships 11/13 994 20:21 20:54 20:51 21:10 21:21 22:06 22:08





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0% 29.5 782 0.0 0.0
Region Championship 100% 11.0 328 0.0 0.2 1.2 3.4 7.6 14.2 16.9 16.0 16.0 10.5 6.1 3.6 2.3 1.0 0.6 0.3



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kirsten Olling 4.8% 141.9
Kelly Schubert 0.0% 187.0
Megan O'Neil 0.0% 201.0
Samantha Allmacher 0.0% 190.0
Alyssa Dyer 0.0% 236.0
Hannah Davis 0.0% 252.5
Breanne Lesnar 0.0% 251.0


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kirsten Olling 31.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.7 1.0 1.1 1.6 1.6 1.7 2.0 2.1 2.2 2.5 2.6 2.4 2.8 2.9
Kelly Schubert 54.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3
Megan O'Neil 72.8 0.0
Samantha Allmacher 73.8
Alyssa Dyer 91.2
Hannah Davis 133.3
Breanne Lesnar 151.5




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 0.0% 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 4
5 0.2% 0.2 5
6 1.2% 1.2 6
7 3.4% 3.4 7
8 7.6% 7.6 8
9 14.2% 14.2 9
10 16.9% 16.9 10
11 16.0% 16.0 11
12 16.0% 16.0 12
13 10.5% 10.5 13
14 6.1% 6.1 14
15 3.6% 3.6 15
16 2.3% 2.3 16
17 1.0% 1.0 17
18 0.6% 0.6 18
19 0.3% 0.3 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0