Col. of Charleston
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
660  Cara Butcher JR 21:09
1,086  Carlee Cassidy JR 21:41
1,195  Victoria Churchill SO 21:48
1,402  Hannah Lopez SO 22:03
1,909  Marissa Small-Towns SO 22:36
1,995  Kornelia Kostka SR 22:42
2,016  Ellen Feringa FR 22:44
2,179  Elizabeth Parrish FR 22:56
2,536  Emma Jennings FR 23:29
2,737  Savannah Pugh SO 23:55
2,771  Mary Brelsford JR 23:59
2,993  Megan Bur FR 24:45
3,053  Kallie Golicher SO 24:57
3,153  Jace Kosiorek FR 25:36
3,300  Alexa Namestnik FR 26:49
National Rank #191 of 339
Southeast Region Rank #25 of 49
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 25th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.0%
Top 20 in Regional 7.2%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Cara Butcher Carlee Cassidy Victoria Churchill Hannah Lopez Marissa Small-Towns Kornelia Kostka Ellen Feringa Elizabeth Parrish Emma Jennings Savannah Pugh Mary Brelsford
Charlotte Invitational 09/25 1236 21:16 21:41 22:19 22:13 23:02 22:28 23:34 22:56 23:35 23:48 24:03
College of Charleston Classic Invitational 10/16 1226 21:10 21:51 21:54 22:00 22:24 22:57 23:06 23:08 23:37 23:59 24:00
Colonial Athletic Association Championship 10/31 1170 20:44 21:23 21:41 22:12 22:39 22:43 22:08 22:53 23:18 24:03 23:57
Southeast Region Championships 11/13 1234 21:39 21:59 21:33 21:45 22:28 22:51 22:20





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 24.6 675 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.0 2.0 3.7 6.6 8.9 11.0 12.6 13.7 13.0 11.9 8.1 4.8 1.9 0.2



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Cara Butcher 72.7
Carlee Cassidy 120.1
Victoria Churchill 132.9
Hannah Lopez 156.2
Marissa Small-Towns 198.7
Kornelia Kostka 205.9
Ellen Feringa 207.7




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 0.0% 0.0 12
13 13
14 0.0% 0.0 14
15 0.0% 0.0 15
16 0.0% 0.0 16
17 0.4% 0.4 17
18 1.0% 1.0 18
19 2.0% 2.0 19
20 3.7% 3.7 20
21 6.6% 6.6 21
22 8.9% 8.9 22
23 11.0% 11.0 23
24 12.6% 12.6 24
25 13.7% 13.7 25
26 13.0% 13.0 26
27 11.9% 11.9 27
28 8.1% 8.1 28
29 4.8% 4.8 29
30 1.9% 1.9 30
31 0.2% 0.2 31
32 0.0% 0.0 32
33 0.0% 0.0 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
48 48
49 49
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0