East Tenn. St.
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
1,238  Emily Williams JR 21:51
1,327  Victoria Hutchens JR 21:57
1,988  Sahara Fletcher JR 22:42
2,078  Macy Carrier SO 22:49
2,162  Sarah Zimmer SO 22:55
2,905  Alexa Zimmerman SO 24:24
3,258  Brianna Goble SO 26:21
National Rank #242 of 339
South Region Rank #28 of 46
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 29th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.0%
Top 20 in Regional 0.1%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Emily Williams Victoria Hutchens Sahara Fletcher Macy Carrier Sarah Zimmer Alexa Zimmerman Brianna Goble
Greater Louisville Classic (Blue) 10/03 1334 21:56 22:38 22:48 22:28 24:36
Wake Forest Invitational 10/16 1318 21:44 21:52 23:07 22:59 23:36 24:27 26:22
Southern Conference Championship 10/31 1277 22:06 21:54 22:25 22:40 23:00 24:15
South Region Championships 11/13 1290 21:50 22:16 22:49 22:55 22:50 24:24





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 28.6 813 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.3 2.5 4.9 9.0 12.0 16.3 19.3 15.9 8.9



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Emily Williams 116.1
Victoria Hutchens 124.0
Sahara Fletcher 183.6
Macy Carrier 190.8
Sarah Zimmer 196.6
Alexa Zimmerman 250.8
Brianna Goble 282.3




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 0.1% 0.1 20
21 0.2% 0.2 21
22 0.4% 0.4 22
23 1.3% 1.3 23
24 2.5% 2.5 24
25 4.9% 4.9 25
26 9.0% 9.0 26
27 12.0% 12.0 27
28 16.3% 16.3 28
29 19.3% 19.3 29
30 15.9% 15.9 30
31 8.9% 8.9 31
32 4.6% 4.6 32
33 2.5% 2.5 33
34 1.5% 1.5 34
35 0.5% 0.5 35
36 0.1% 0.1 36
37 0.0% 0.0 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0