Penn
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
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RankNameGradeRating
78  Ashley Montgomery JR 19:57
217  Cleo Whiting JR 20:23
326  Clarissa Whiting JR 20:38
507  Isabel Griffith SO 20:55
654  Abigail Hong SO 21:08
841  Amy Darlington SR 21:23
922  Olivia Ryan FR 21:29
939  Elyssa Gensib SR 21:30
1,009  Carole Harsch FR 21:35
1,228  Shannon McCarthy SR 21:51
1,243  Marin Warner FR 21:52
1,318  Gabby Cuccia SR 21:57
1,890  Karli Visconto FR 22:35
1,961  Emily Fisher SO 22:40
2,498  Brianna Bradley SO 23:24
National Rank #47 of 339
Mid-Atlantic Region Rank #5 of 37
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 10.4%
Most Likely Finish 6th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.8%


Regional Champion 0.2%
Top 5 in Regional 52.1%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Ashley Montgomery Cleo Whiting Clarissa Whiting Isabel Griffith Abigail Hong Amy Darlington Olivia Ryan Elyssa Gensib Carole Harsch Shannon McCarthy Marin Warner
Joe Piane Notre Dame Invitational (Blue) 10/02 796 19:51 20:14 20:38 21:01 21:33 21:27
Paul Short Invitational (Brown) 10/02 1254 21:34 21:39 21:54
Leopard Invitational 10/17 22:03
Princeton Invitational 10/17 850 20:10 20:30 20:33 20:53 21:15 21:29 21:27 22:11 21:41 21:50
Ivy League Championships 10/30 813 20:00 20:25 20:44 20:52 21:02 21:30 21:11 21:29 21:42 21:56
Mid-Atlantic Region Championships 11/13 822 19:56 20:30 20:43 21:02 20:53 21:15 21:29
NCAA Championship 11/21 19:55





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 10.4% 26.2 627 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.6 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.4 1.5 1.5 0.2
Region Championship 100% 5.3 163 0.2 1.4 4.5 17.5 28.4 39.6 6.9 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ashley Montgomery 84.1% 77.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.5
Cleo Whiting 22.4% 138.9
Clarissa Whiting 11.8% 171.3
Isabel Griffith 10.4% 206.5
Abigail Hong 10.4% 226.9
Amy Darlington 10.4% 242.3
Olivia Ryan 10.4% 245.8


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ashley Montgomery 6.6 5.3 7.3 8.0 8.7 8.6 7.9 7.2 6.8 5.8 5.7 4.1 4.7 4.2 3.1 2.9 2.0 1.7 1.4 1.1 0.8 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.1
Cleo Whiting 19.2 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.7 1.3 1.7 2.0 2.7 3.1 3.5 3.8 4.0 4.6 4.6 5.2 5.3 5.2 5.1 4.3 4.6 4.2 3.5 2.8
Clarissa Whiting 29.4 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.8 0.6 0.9 1.3 1.4 1.9 2.1 2.4 2.7 2.7 3.0 3.7 3.0 3.4 3.9
Isabel Griffith 46.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.9 0.6 1.0
Abigail Hong 58.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2
Amy Darlington 71.7 0.0 0.0
Olivia Ryan 76.4




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 0.2% 100.0% 0.2 0.2 1
2 1.4% 100.0% 1.4 1.4 2
3 4.5% 68.6% 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 1.4 3.1 3
4 17.5% 27.5% 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.6 0.7 1.1 1.4 0.2 12.7 4.8 4
5 28.4% 3.0% 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 27.6 0.8 5
6 39.6% 0.1% 0.0 39.6 0.0 6
7 6.9% 6.9 7
8 1.1% 1.1 8
9 0.3% 0.3 9
10 0.1% 0.1 10
11 11
12 12
13 0.0% 0.0 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
Total 100% 10.4% 0.2 1.4 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.6 0.6 1.0 1.1 1.6 2.0 0.3 89.6 1.6 8.8




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
SMU 21.4% 1.0 0.2
Texas A&M 8.2% 1.0 0.1
Harvard 3.0% 1.0 0.0
Dartmouth 2.9% 1.0 0.0
Florida 1.7% 1.0 0.0
Cornell 1.3% 1.0 0.0
Missouri 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Eastern Michigan 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.4
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 3.0