Tennessee
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
10  Chelsea Blaase SR 19:27
846  Jessica Rizor FR 21:23
960  Julia Rizor FR 21:32
1,438  Abigail McCulla FR 22:05
1,676  Peighton Meske FR 22:21
1,772  Emma Reed FR 22:27
1,831  Caroline Duer SR 22:31
3,099  Lindsey Bowman FR 25:11
National Rank #92 of 339
South Region Rank #10 of 46
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 14th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 2.4%
Top 20 in Regional 99.2%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Chelsea Blaase Jessica Rizor Julia Rizor Abigail McCulla Peighton Meske Emma Reed Caroline Duer Lindsey Bowman
Greater Louisville Classic (Blue) 10/03 1046 20:00 21:10 21:36 22:10 22:57 21:57 24:43
D1 Pre-Nationals (Black) 10/17 1240 21:29 21:27 22:10 22:26 22:38 25:39
D1 Pre-Nationals (Red) 10/17 19:31
SEC Championships 10/30 991 19:23 21:31 21:19 21:57 22:07 22:45 22:22
South Region Championships 11/13 1033 19:26 21:55 22:11 22:38 22:36
NCAA Championship 11/21 19:23





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 14.7 468 0.1 2.2 6.8 11.8 14.1 14.5 13.6 13.2 9.9 7.0 4.3 1.6 0.7 0.1 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Chelsea Blaase 100% 18.0 0.4 1.5 2.6 3.1 3.3 2.8 3.5 3.7 3.6 3.2 3.0 3.1 2.8 2.9 2.7 3.0 2.3 2.7 2.3 2.6 2.3 2.1 2.3 2.0 2.2


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Chelsea Blaase 1.0 56.4 19.4 9.6 5.3 3.6 2.1 1.1 1.2 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Jessica Rizor 85.5 0.0
Julia Rizor 94.6
Abigail McCulla 134.6
Peighton Meske 157.5
Emma Reed 165.9
Caroline Duer 170.5




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 0.1% 0.1 9
10 2.2% 2.2 10
11 6.8% 6.8 11
12 11.8% 11.8 12
13 14.1% 14.1 13
14 14.5% 14.5 14
15 13.6% 13.6 15
16 13.2% 13.2 16
17 9.9% 9.9 17
18 7.0% 7.0 18
19 4.3% 4.3 19
20 1.6% 1.6 20
21 0.7% 0.7 21
22 0.1% 0.1 22
23 0.0% 0.0 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0