Villanova
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
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RankNameGradeRating
145  Angel Piccirillo JR 20:10
149  Siofra Cleirigh Buttner SO 20:11
229  Bella Burda FR 20:24
574  Ann Campbell FR 21:01
576  Katie Fisher SO 21:01
631  Nicole Hutchinson FR 21:06
695  Caitlin Bungo JR 21:12
697  Alex Russo JR 21:12
752  Kaleigh Hughes FR 21:16
1,157  Sammy Bockoven FR 21:46
National Rank #40 of 339
Mid-Atlantic Region Rank #4 of 37
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 43.7%
Most Likely Finish 5th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 3.1%


Regional Champion 0.7%
Top 5 in Regional 75.9%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings



Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.



RaceDateTeam Rating Angel Piccirillo Siofra Cleirigh Buttner Bella Burda Ann Campbell Katie Fisher Nicole Hutchinson Caitlin Bungo Alex Russo Kaleigh Hughes Sammy Bockoven
Princeton Inter Regional 10/03 790 19:56 20:16 20:41 21:01 21:29 21:01 21:06 20:59 21:01 21:48
Princeton Invitational 10/17 21:16 21:13 21:42
D1 Pre-Nationals (Red) 10/17 722 20:03 20:01 20:22 21:07 20:56 21:11 21:18
Big East Conference Championships 10/31 809 20:44 20:17 20:03 21:00 20:56 21:28 21:07 21:29 21:29 21:53
Mid-Atlantic Region Championships 11/13 739 20:03 20:16 20:24 20:54 20:54 20:51 21:17
NCAA Championship 11/21 816 20:21 20:11 20:35 21:12 20:49 21:30 21:27





NCAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 43.7% 26.8 651 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.6 0.7 1.0 1.3 1.6 2.2 2.5 3.2 4.7 5.7 6.9 9.0 2.3
Region Championship 100% 4.6 143 0.7 3.1 11.0 29.8 31.2 21.1 2.6 0.3 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Angel Piccirillo 62.4% 112.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
Siofra Cleirigh Buttner 60.2% 114.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Bella Burda 46.8% 150.7 0.0
Ann Campbell 43.7% 227.4
Katie Fisher 43.7% 228.0
Nicole Hutchinson 43.7% 234.5
Caitlin Bungo 43.7% 238.9


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Angel Piccirillo 11.9 0.8 1.1 2.2 3.0 3.3 4.6 5.1 5.2 5.7 5.8 6.7 6.7 6.2 5.7 5.7 5.3 4.3 3.8 3.0 2.7 2.2 1.9 1.3 1.1 1.4
Siofra Cleirigh Buttner 12.4 0.4 1.4 2.2 2.6 3.2 3.7 4.6 5.4 5.9 6.3 5.9 6.3 5.8 5.8 5.5 5.1 4.7 4.1 3.8 3.2 2.1 1.9 1.6 1.5 1.1
Bella Burda 19.4 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.8 1.0 1.4 1.4 2.2 2.9 3.6 3.9 4.7 4.3 5.2 4.9 5.1 5.4 4.9 4.8 3.9 4.0 3.7 3.3
Ann Campbell 51.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.7
Katie Fisher 51.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5
Nicole Hutchinson 56.6 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2
Caitlin Bungo 61.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 0.7% 100.0% 0.7 0.7 1
2 3.1% 100.0% 3.1 3.1 2
3 11.0% 84.0% 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.7 0.8 1.0 1.0 1.5 1.3 1.2 0.7 1.8 9.2 3
4 29.8% 59.7% 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.1 1.8 2.9 3.5 3.2 4.5 12.0 17.8 4
5 31.2% 38.5% 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.5 2.0 2.8 4.3 19.2 12.0 5
6 21.1% 3.6% 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.4 20.4 0.8 6
7 2.6% 2.6 7
8 0.3% 0.3 8
9 0.0% 0.0 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
Total 100% 43.7% 0.7 3.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.6 2.6 3.5 6.0 6.8 7.3 9.9 56.3 3.9 39.8




Points




At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.




Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Texas 43.8% 1.0 0.4
William and Mary 40.1% 1.0 0.4
Kansas 26.0% 1.0 0.3
Yale 19.5% 1.0 0.2
Air Force 10.1% 1.0 0.1
Stephen F. Austin 9.1% 1.0 0.1
Colorado St. 8.8% 1.0 0.1
Rice 5.9% 1.0 0.1
Indiana 5.9% 1.0 0.1
California 5.3% 1.0 0.1
Brown 5.0% 1.0 0.1
Oklahoma 2.3% 1.0 0.0
Florida 1.7% 1.0 0.0
Cal Poly 1.4% 1.0 0.0
Cornell 1.3% 1.0 0.0
Eastern Washington 0.7% 1.0 0.0
Bradley 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Missouri 0.3% 1.0 0.0
San Francisco 0.2% 1.0 0.0
New Hampshire 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Eastern Michigan 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Eastern Kentucky 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Connecticut 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 1.9
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 7.0