Virginia
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
29  Cleo Boyd SR 19:37
38  Iona Lake SR 19:44
53  Megan Rebholz SO 19:49
90  Sarah Astin JR 20:00
129  Emily Mulhern FR 20:08
214  Sarah Fakler JR 20:23
289  Maria Hauger SO 20:33
420  Bonnie Angermeier FR 20:47
618  Sara Sargent JR 21:05
670  Carly Hamilton SR 21:10
859  Laura Pierce SO 21:24
National Rank #3 of 339
Southeast Region Rank #1 of 49
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 100.0%
Most Likely Finish 3rd at Nationals


National Champion 1.6%
Top 5 at Nationals 46.5%
Top 10 at Nationals 78.9%
Top 20 at Nationals 98.4%


Regional Champion 58.2%
Top 5 in Regional 100.0%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Cleo Boyd Iona Lake Megan Rebholz Sarah Astin Emily Mulhern Sarah Fakler Maria Hauger Bonnie Angermeier Sara Sargent Carly Hamilton Laura Pierce
Panorama Farms Invitational 09/26 181 19:26 19:15 19:32 19:45 20:00 20:19 20:27 20:46 21:03
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/16 336 19:38 19:39 19:46 20:11 20:12 20:32 21:09
ACC Championships 10/30 317 19:37 19:49 20:03 20:01 19:55 20:14 21:13 21:35 21:45
Southeast Region Championships 11/13 265 19:34 19:57 19:51 19:48 19:50 20:34 21:17
NCAA Championship 11/21 485 19:53 20:02 19:56 20:14 21:56 20:35 20:56





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 100% 7.1 264 1.6 12.1 12.2 11.0 9.6 7.8 7.6 6.4 5.8 4.8 3.9 3.5 3.0 2.4 1.8 1.8 1.0 0.9 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1
Region Championship 100% 1.4 62 58.2 39.8 1.8 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Cleo Boyd 100% 32.5 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.1 1.4 1.3 1.5 1.8 1.9 1.8 1.5 2.1 2.1 1.7 1.8 2.0 2.0 1.9 2.0 1.7 1.6 2.1 1.8
Iona Lake 100% 46.3 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.8 0.8 1.2 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.4 1.2 1.1 1.5 1.4 1.2 1.1 1.4
Megan Rebholz 100% 59.5 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.9 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.8 0.9
Sarah Astin 100% 89.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3
Emily Mulhern 100% 114.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0
Sarah Fakler 100% 157.9 0.0 0.0
Maria Hauger 100% 183.1


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Cleo Boyd 5.3 8.7 9.1 10.1 10.1 9.0 8.9 8.1 7.5 6.0 4.7 4.0 2.7 2.6 2.4 1.6 1.2 0.9 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0
Iona Lake 8.0 2.6 4.5 5.5 6.7 7.2 7.5 8.5 7.3 7.3 6.0 6.0 5.2 5.2 4.2 3.6 3.4 2.1 1.7 1.4 1.2 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.1
Megan Rebholz 10.1 0.9 2.0 3.2 3.7 4.8 5.6 6.3 7.6 7.9 7.1 6.4 6.2 5.7 5.8 4.6 4.1 3.6 3.3 2.8 2.0 1.7 1.1 1.0 0.5 0.7
Sarah Astin 15.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.8 1.7 1.8 2.7 3.0 3.9 5.3 5.1 6.0 5.3 6.6 6.3 6.5 5.8 5.8 4.9 4.5 4.2 3.4 3.0 2.3 2.1
Emily Mulhern 19.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.2 1.7 2.3 3.0 3.5 3.8 4.6 5.0 5.5 5.4 5.1 6.2 5.7 5.3 5.6 4.2 4.6 3.1
Sarah Fakler 28.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.9 1.0 1.6 1.8 2.2 2.6 3.0 3.5 4.3 4.1 4.7 4.5
Maria Hauger 36.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.8 1.3 1.4 1.7 1.9 2.0 2.7




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 58.2% 100.0% 58.2 58.2 1
2 39.8% 100.0% 39.8 39.8 2
3 1.8% 100.0% 1.8 0.0 0.0 1.8 3
4 0.1% 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
48 48
49 49
Total 100% 100.0% 58.2 39.8 1.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 98.0 2.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
North Carolina St. 100.0% 2.0 2.0
Providence 100.0% 1.0 1.0
Boise State 99.8% 1.0 1.0
Penn State 99.6% 1.0 1.0
Iowa State 99.5% 1.0 1.0
Washington 99.2% 1.0 1.0
Notre Dame 99.1% 2.0 2.0
Miss State 98.3% 1.0 1.0
Syracuse 96.5% 2.0 1.9
Princeton 95.5% 1.0 1.0
Michigan State 94.1% 1.0 0.9
Minnesota 93.0% 1.0 0.9
Vanderbilt 92.1% 1.0 0.9
BYU 78.3% 1.0 0.8
William and Mary 40.1% 1.0 0.4
North Carolina 39.3% 2.0 0.8
Columbia 26.3% 1.0 0.3
SMU 21.4% 1.0 0.2
Yale 19.5% 1.0 0.2
Auburn 13.8% 1.0 0.1
Baylor 11.7% 1.0 0.1
West Virginia 10.3% 1.0 0.1
Wisconsin 8.6% 1.0 0.1
Arizona State 8.4% 1.0 0.1
Florida State 5.9% 2.0 0.1
Indiana 5.9% 1.0 0.1
Tulsa 3.8% 1.0 0.0
Harvard 3.0% 1.0 0.0
Dartmouth 2.9% 1.0 0.0
Oklahoma 2.3% 1.0 0.0
Boston College 1.4% 2.0 0.0
Northern Arizona 1.3% 1.0 0.0
Eastern Michigan 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Ohio State 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 19.1
Minimum 12.0
Maximum 27.0