Washington
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
18  Maddie Meyers SR 19:31
88  Charlotte Prouse FR 19:59
119  Katie Knight SO 20:05
123  Anna Maxwell SO 20:06
199  Kaylee Flanagan JR 20:19
234  Eleanor Fulton SR 20:25
280  Lindsey Bradley FR 20:32
348  Jenna Sanders JR 20:41
396  Emily Hamlin FR 20:45
898  Kelly Lawson SO 21:27
940  Grace Hodge JR 21:30
1,134  Josephine Bosserman SO 21:45
National Rank #12 of 339
West Region Rank #3 of 39
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 99.5%
Most Likely Finish 9th at Nationals


National Champion 0.2%
Top 5 at Nationals 15.9%
Top 10 at Nationals 46.3%
Top 20 at Nationals 91.4%


Regional Champion 17.3%
Top 5 in Regional 99.5%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings



Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.



RaceDateTeam Rating Maddie Meyers Charlotte Prouse Katie Knight Anna Maxwell Kaylee Flanagan Eleanor Fulton Lindsey Bradley Jenna Sanders Emily Hamlin Kelly Lawson Grace Hodge
Washington Invitational 10/02 445 19:47 19:58 20:14 20:08 20:19 20:15 20:44 20:38 21:28 21:32
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/16 439 19:47 20:01 20:01 20:11 20:22 20:31
Emerald City Open 10/17 21:26
Pac 12 Championships 10/30 423 19:32 20:02 20:09 20:01 20:33 20:26 20:54 20:39 20:44 21:27
West Region Championships 11/13 489 19:39 20:05 20:01 20:31 20:21 20:34 20:38
NCAA Championship 11/21 376 19:19 19:57 20:03 20:07 20:18 20:33 21:15





NCAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 99.5% 11.6 350 0.2 2.3 4.0 4.3 5.1 5.9 5.5 6.1 6.9 6.0 6.3 6.1 5.4 5.6 4.7 4.4 3.7 3.5 2.6 2.7 2.1 1.8 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1
Region Championship 100% 2.8 98 17.3 25.3 25.9 28.6 2.5 0.4 0.1 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Maddie Meyers 99.9% 23.3 0.3 0.5 1.3 1.7 2.2 2.5 2.2 2.9 2.3 2.2 2.8 2.7 2.3 2.4 2.5 2.3 2.4 2.2 2.4 2.2 2.6 2.4 2.0 2.1 2.1
Charlotte Prouse 99.5% 86.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.3
Katie Knight 99.5% 104.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.0
Anna Maxwell 99.5% 108.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1
Kaylee Flanagan 99.5% 146.8 0.0
Eleanor Fulton 99.5% 163.4
Lindsey Bradley 99.5% 178.7


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Maddie Meyers 3.4 1.7 26.2 17.1 13.0 9.6 7.4 6.4 4.5 3.0 2.6 1.9 1.5 1.1 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Charlotte Prouse 15.2 0.4 1.6 2.3 2.5 3.2 3.7 4.1 4.0 4.8 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.7 4.8 4.2 4.1 3.5 3.3 3.6 2.7 2.3 2.3 2.2 2.2
Katie Knight 20.1 0.0 0.4 1.0 1.0 1.7 1.8 2.4 2.6 3.2 3.4 3.4 3.5 3.3 3.7 3.8 3.7 3.5 3.4 3.5 3.5 3.6 3.2 3.0 2.5
Anna Maxwell 20.9 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.0 1.1 1.6 2.1 2.7 2.7 3.3 3.3 3.5 2.9 3.3 3.5 4.3 3.6 3.5 3.7 3.2 3.4 3.3 3.0 3.0
Kaylee Flanagan 34.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.6 1.2 0.9 1.5 1.4 1.3 2.1 1.8 2.0 1.8 2.1 1.9 2.4 1.8
Eleanor Fulton 40.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.8 0.8 1.1 1.1 1.5 1.4 1.5 1.4 1.6
Lindsey Bradley 47.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.9




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 17.3% 100.0% 17.3 17.3 1
2 25.3% 100.0% 25.3 25.3 2
3 25.9% 100.0% 13.6 8.5 2.9 0.6 0.2 0.0 25.9 3
4 28.6% 100.0% 11.0 7.9 4.1 2.1 1.2 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.2 28.6 4
5 2.5% 97.6% 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 2.4 5
6 0.4% 21.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.1 6
7 0.1% 0.1 7
8 0.0% 0.0 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
Total 100% 99.5% 17.3 25.3 13.6 19.4 11.6 5.1 2.5 1.5 0.8 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.5 42.6 57.0




Points




At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.




Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Penn State 99.6% 1.0 1.0
Notre Dame 99.1% 1.0 1.0
Stanford 98.8% 1.0 1.0
Syracuse 96.5% 1.0 1.0
Princeton 95.5% 1.0 1.0
Michigan State 94.1% 1.0 0.9
Minnesota 93.0% 1.0 0.9
Vanderbilt 92.1% 1.0 0.9
BYU 78.3% 2.0 1.6
Utah 63.8% 1.0 0.6
William and Mary 40.1% 1.0 0.4
North Carolina 39.3% 1.0 0.4
Columbia 26.3% 1.0 0.3
SMU 21.4% 1.0 0.2
Baylor 11.7% 1.0 0.1
West Virginia 10.3% 1.0 0.1
Air Force 10.1% 1.0 0.1
Wisconsin 8.6% 1.0 0.1
Arizona State 8.4% 2.0 0.2
Florida State 5.9% 1.0 0.1
Indiana 5.9% 1.0 0.1
California 5.3% 1.0 0.1
Tulsa 3.8% 1.0 0.0
Harvard 3.0% 1.0 0.0
Dartmouth 2.9% 1.0 0.0
Boston College 1.4% 1.0 0.0
Northern Arizona 1.3% 1.0 0.0
Gonzaga 0.8% 1.0 0.0
Eastern Washington 0.7% 1.0 0.0
Ohio State 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 12.0
Minimum 7.0
Maximum 18.0