Richmond
Men - Women
2015 - 2016 - 2017
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
932  Colleen Carney SO 21:28
1,013  Tara Hanley SR 21:32
1,031  Ave Grosenheider SO 21:34
1,042  Kylie Regan SO 21:34
1,062  Claire Brown FR 21:36
1,075  Peyton McGovern FR 21:37
1,177  Shelby Cain JR 21:43
1,661  Marisa Ruskan SR 22:13
2,429  Erika Echternach FR 23:03
2,529  Emma Nowak SR 23:13
2,544  Sarah Hipwell SO 23:14
National Rank #169 of 344
Southeast Region Rank #21 of 50
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 19th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.1%
Top 20 in Regional 80.8%


Race Performance Ratings



Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.



RaceDateTeam Rating Colleen Carney Tara Hanley Ave Grosenheider Kylie Regan Claire Brown Peyton McGovern Shelby Cain Marisa Ruskan Erika Echternach Emma Nowak Sarah Hipwell
Rider Invite 09/16 1194 21:49 21:12 21:33 21:34 21:40 22:21 21:49 21:23 22:49 23:18 22:59
CXC West Region Preview 10/01 1211 22:01 21:38 21:18 21:20 22:33 21:58 22:13 23:10 23:55
High Point Vert Invitational 10/14 1200 21:05 22:04 21:23 21:50 21:38 22:30 23:06 23:22 23:36
Atlantic 10 Championship 10/29 1173 21:23 21:48 21:19 21:18 21:21 22:00 21:23 22:36 23:07 23:00
Southeast Region Champioinships 11/11 1155 21:02 21:12 22:12 21:40 22:27 21:10 21:24





NCAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 18.7 526 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.7 1.9 4.8 7.0 10.6 15.0 20.1 18.8 10.2 5.2 2.4 1.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Colleen Carney 101.9
Tara Hanley 110.4
Ave Grosenheider 111.6
Kylie Regan 113.0
Claire Brown 115.4
Peyton McGovern 117.1
Shelby Cain 128.4




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 0.1% 0.1 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 0.4% 0.4 11
12 0.7% 0.7 12
13 1.7% 1.7 13
14 1.9% 1.9 14
15 4.8% 4.8 15
16 7.0% 7.0 16
17 10.6% 10.6 17
18 15.0% 15.0 18
19 20.1% 20.1 19
20 18.8% 18.8 20
21 10.2% 10.2 21
22 5.2% 5.2 22
23 2.4% 2.4 23
24 1.0% 1.0 24
25 0.2% 0.2 25
26 0.2% 0.2 26
27 0.1% 0.1 27
28 0.1% 0.1 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
48 48
49 49
50 50
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points




At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.




Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0