San Francisco
Men - Women
2015 - 2016 - 2017
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
22  Charlotte Taylor SR 19:37
58  Marie Bouchard SR 19:50
105  Elena Burkard SR 20:03
145  Weronika Pyzik SO 20:10
173  Isabelle Brauer FR 20:15
349  Tatjana Schulte SO 20:39
489  Frederique LaTraverse JR 20:55
625  Heleene Tambet SR 21:07
676  Ashley Moffett SR 21:10
679  Daryl Phill SR 21:10
952  Magdalena Dias FR 21:29
1,227  Kelsey Nielsen JR 21:46
1,425  Emma Stahr SO 21:58
National Rank #9 of 344
West Region Rank #5 of 39
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 93.6%
Most Likely Finish 5th at Nationals


National Champion 0.6%
Top 5 at Nationals 20.6%
Top 10 at Nationals 50.3%
Top 20 at Nationals 86.3%


Regional Champion 5.6%
Top 5 in Regional 74.5%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Charlotte Taylor Marie Bouchard Elena Burkard Weronika Pyzik Isabelle Brauer Tatjana Schulte Frederique LaTraverse Heleene Tambet Ashley Moffett Daryl Phill Magdalena Dias
Roy Griak Invitational 09/24 449 19:38 19:49 20:07 20:07 20:39 21:00 21:48
Nuttycombe Wisconsin Invitational (B Race) 10/14 1132 20:48 21:10 21:20
Nuttycombe Wisconsin Invitational 10/14 456 19:32 19:54 20:08 20:44 20:06 21:07 21:16
West Coast Conference 10/28 470 19:52 20:02 19:58 20:21 20:21 21:02 21:05 21:26
West Region Championships 11/11 290 19:23 19:46 19:53 19:57 20:07 21:15 20:57





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 93.6% 10.8 339 0.6 3.4 4.0 6.1 6.6 6.4 6.2 6.3 6.5 4.4 4.6 5.4 4.8 4.2 3.6 3.5 2.1 3.0 2.6 2.5 1.8 1.4 1.0 0.9 0.7 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1
Region Championship 100% 4.4 137 5.6 10.0 14.9 19.9 24.2 12.7 7.9 3.6 1.2 0.2 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Charlotte Taylor 98.3% 31.2 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.0 1.2 0.9 1.3 1.5 1.8 2.1 1.6 2.1 1.4 1.5 2.0 1.8 2.2 2.2 1.6 1.4 2.5 2.4 1.9 2.1 1.8
Marie Bouchard 93.7% 59.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.8 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.8 1.0 0.9 0.6 1.0
Elena Burkard 93.6% 94.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1
Weronika Pyzik 93.6% 117.6 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2
Isabelle Brauer 93.6% 131.7 0.1 0.1
Tatjana Schulte 93.6% 199.6
Frederique LaTraverse 93.6% 224.1


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Charlotte Taylor 9.8 1.8 3.2 4.0 4.5 5.6 7.1 6.2 6.2 6.8 5.9 5.9 5.2 3.5 3.7 3.7 3.9 3.4 2.9 2.5 1.2 1.8 1.7 1.4 1.0 1.3
Marie Bouchard 18.1 0.1 0.8 1.2 1.9 2.4 2.5 3.1 3.1 3.6 3.5 4.1 3.9 4.7 3.8 3.9 3.7 3.9 4.1 4.0 3.0 4.0 3.7 2.9 3.1
Elena Burkard 28.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.3 0.9 1.9 2.3 2.4 2.6 2.7 3.2 2.8 3.1 2.4 2.4 3.5 3.1
Weronika Pyzik 34.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.7 0.8 1.2 1.1 1.7 1.6 1.7 1.3 1.8 2.2 2.6 2.0 2.9
Isabelle Brauer 39.6 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.8 1.3 1.2 1.0 1.6 1.4 1.2 1.7
Tatjana Schulte 64.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Frederique LaTraverse 79.5




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 5.6% 100.0% 5.6 5.6 1
2 10.0% 100.0% 10.0 10.0 2
3 14.9% 100.0% 4.1 4.9 2.7 2.1 0.8 0.5 0.1 14.9 3
4 19.9% 100.0% 3.6 4.6 3.7 2.3 1.9 1.4 1.0 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 19.9 4
5 24.2% 99.4% 3.0 4.9 4.1 2.5 2.3 2.2 1.6 1.2 0.8 1.1 0.6 0.2 24.0 5
6 12.7% 93.7% 0.2 0.6 1.1 1.0 1.7 1.2 1.9 1.6 1.3 1.5 0.8 11.9 6
7 7.9% 73.9% 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.3 0.9 1.3 1.3 1.5 2.1 5.8 7
8 3.6% 39.4% 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.6 2.2 1.4 8
9 1.2% 8.7% 0.1 0.1 1.1 0.1 9
10 0.2% 0.2 10
11 0.1% 0.1 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
Total 100% 93.6% 5.6 10.0 4.1 8.4 10.2 10.9 7.8 6.0 4.8 5.3 3.9 4.5 4.0 4.0 4.3 6.4 15.6 78.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Iowa State 99.0% 1.0 1.0
Michigan State 96.5% 1.0 1.0
Notre Dame 92.0% 1.0 0.9
Yale 92.0% 1.0 0.9
BYU 86.9% 1.0 0.9
Utah 84.5% 1.0 0.8
Miss State 82.8% 1.0 0.8
Harvard 74.3% 1.0 0.7
Penn 68.6% 1.0 0.7
Villanova 62.9% 1.0 0.6
Boise State 60.0% 1.0 0.6
UCLA 54.6% 2.0 1.1
Minnesota 31.9% 2.0 0.6
Furman 25.1% 1.0 0.3
Georgetown 22.0% 1.0 0.2
SMU 16.3% 1.0 0.2
Wisconsin 14.5% 1.0 0.1
Vanderbilt 6.1% 1.0 0.1
Ohio State 3.8% 1.0 0.0
Tulsa 3.4% 1.0 0.0
Duke 3.2% 1.0 0.0
Syracuse 2.3% 1.0 0.0
Colorado St. 2.1% 1.0 0.0
Oklahoma 1.0% 1.0 0.0
Florida State 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Northern Illinois 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Wyoming 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Northern Arizona 0.1% 2.0 0.0
Total 11.7
Minimum 5.0
Maximum 17.0