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Men - Women
2015 - 2016 - 2017
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RankNameGradeRating
615  Katie Leisher SO 21:06
926  Millie Howard FR 21:27
1,466  Grace Moore FR 22:00
2,140  Emily Nist SR 22:42
2,247  Catherine Pinson JR 22:50
2,276  Megan Schneider SR 22:52
2,402  Ashton Dunkley SO 23:01
2,916  Brianna Thomas SO 23:59
National Rank #193 of 344
Mid-Atlantic Region Rank #19 of 38
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 19th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.0%
Top 20 in Regional 75.2%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Katie Leisher Millie Howard Grace Moore Emily Nist Catherine Pinson Megan Schneider Ashton Dunkley Brianna Thomas
Rider Invite 09/16 1253 21:14 21:27 22:50 23:14 22:58 23:51
Paul Short Invitational (Gold) 10/01 1171 20:39 21:31 21:21 22:55 22:42 24:05
Leopard Invitational 10/15 1255 21:24 21:52 21:16 23:33 22:31 23:35 24:02
American Conference Championship 10/29 1187 20:48 21:01 22:54 22:54 24:17 22:46 22:33
Mid-Atlantic Region Championships 11/11 1216 20:50 21:31 22:51 22:15 22:52 23:03





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 19.0 561 0.4 0.6 1.8 3.8 6.4 10.1 15.2 19.8 17.2 11.7 7.7 3.9 1.2 0.4



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Katie Leisher 0.1% 226.5


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Katie Leisher 49.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.5
Millie Howard 74.6 0.1
Grace Moore 113.8
Emily Nist 161.7
Catherine Pinson 169.0
Megan Schneider 170.5
Ashton Dunkley 177.5




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 0.4% 0.4 12
13 0.6% 0.6 13
14 1.8% 1.8 14
15 3.8% 3.8 15
16 6.4% 6.4 16
17 10.1% 10.1 17
18 15.2% 15.2 18
19 19.8% 19.8 19
20 17.2% 17.2 20
21 11.7% 11.7 21
22 7.7% 7.7 22
23 3.9% 3.9 23
24 1.2% 1.2 24
25 0.4% 0.4 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0