UNC-Wilmington
Men - Women
2015 - 2016 - 2017
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
2,034  Sarah Hamon JR 22:35
2,523  Sarah Goodnight SR 23:12
2,673  Jessie Armstrong FR 23:28
2,829  Kelsey Kiser FR 23:48
2,950  Kylie Knavish JR 24:06
3,502  Kelly Heyer SO 27:02
3,563  Paige Furrie FR 28:34
National Rank #288 of 344
Southeast Region Rank #39 of 50
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 39th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.0%
Top 20 in Regional 0.0%


Race Performance Ratings



Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.



RaceDateTeam Rating Sarah Hamon Sarah Goodnight Jessie Armstrong Kelsey Kiser Kylie Knavish Kelly Heyer Paige Furrie
Coastal Carolina Invitational 09/09 1425 23:19 23:46 23:46 24:33 26:15
Mountains to Sea Duals 09/16 1352 22:53 23:06 23:35 23:24 26:54
University of Delaware Invitational 10/08 1346 22:17 23:13 23:20 24:22 23:53 27:35 28:42
High Point Vert Invitational 10/14 1383 22:19 23:19 22:49 23:49 24:02 27:38 28:56
Colonial Athletic Conference 10/29 1401 22:31 23:13 23:34 23:37 24:13 26:50 28:36
Southeast Region Champioinships 11/11 1458 23:06 23:18 23:33 24:34 24:33 27:23 28:04





NCAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 38.9 1219



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sarah Hamon 194.8
Sarah Goodnight 235.1
Jessie Armstrong 249.3
Kelsey Kiser 264.5
Kylie Knavish 276.2
Kelly Heyer 326.8
Paige Furrie 336.3




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 0.1% 0.1 34
35 0.7% 0.7 35
36 2.4% 2.4 36
37 10.6% 10.6 37
38 23.4% 23.4 38
39 31.1% 31.1 39
40 25.8% 25.8 40
41 4.7% 4.7 41
42 1.1% 1.1 42
43 0.3% 0.3 43
44 0.1% 0.1 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
48 48
49 49
50 50
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points




At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.




Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0