Virginia Tech
Men - Women
2015 - 2016 - 2017
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
213  Katie Kennedy JR 20:20
398  Abigail Motley SR 20:45
406  Lauren Berman SO 20:46
552  Laurie Barton FR 21:01
556  Hannah Green SR 21:01
557  Shannon Morton SR 21:01
762  Ella Breidenstine FR 21:16
798  Sara Freix FR 21:18
806  Mikayla Richardson FR 21:19
1,110  Tessa Riley JR 21:39
1,253  Emily Beatty SO 21:47
1,330  Sarah Edwards FR 21:52
1,487  Rachel Pocratsky SO 22:02
National Rank #79 of 344
Southeast Region Rank #11 of 50
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 7.6%
Most Likely Finish 5th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.2%


Regional Champion 0.1%
Top 5 in Regional 40.3%
Top 10 in Regional 90.5%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Katie Kennedy Abigail Motley Lauren Berman Laurie Barton Hannah Green Shannon Morton Ella Breidenstine Sara Freix Mikayla Richardson Tessa Riley Emily Beatty
Virginia Tech Alumni Invitational 09/16 1015 20:42 20:51 21:19 20:38 21:24 21:33
Louisville Classic (Gold) 10/01 892 20:16 20:42 20:56 20:58 20:40 21:05 21:07 21:05 21:29
Penn State National Open 10/14 1006 20:23 21:03 20:51 21:06 21:15 21:22 21:30 21:48 21:53
ACC Championships 10/28 792 19:59 20:34 20:30 20:57 21:12 21:33 21:30 21:03 20:48
Southeast Region Champioinships 11/11 920 20:11 20:47 20:44 21:03 22:03 21:10 21:31





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 7.6% 29.3 713 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 1.3 1.9 2.9
Region Championship 100% 6.6 228 0.1 7.5 10.2 11.0 11.6 10.6 11.3 10.0 10.6 7.7 4.3 3.5 0.9 0.7 0.1 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Katie Kennedy 7.9% 110.3 0.1 0.1
Abigail Motley 7.6% 185.0
Lauren Berman 7.6% 183.5
Laurie Barton 7.6% 214.0
Hannah Green 7.6% 215.0
Shannon Morton 7.6% 218.0
Ella Breidenstine 7.6% 233.5


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Katie Kennedy 23.4 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.8 0.3 1.0 1.4 1.6 1.8 2.8 3.1 3.1 3.7 3.0 4.3 3.7 4.1 4.5 4.5 3.9 5.3 4.5
Abigail Motley 43.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.9 0.8 1.6 1.3
Lauren Berman 43.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 1.1 1.1 1.5
Laurie Barton 61.1 0.1 0.1 0.2
Hannah Green 61.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2
Shannon Morton 61.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Ella Breidenstine 82.6




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 0.1% 100.0% 0.1 0.1 1
2 7.5% 100.0% 7.5 7.5 2
3 10.2% 0.5% 0.1 10.1 0.1 3
4 11.0% 11.0 4
5 11.6% 11.6 5
6 10.6% 10.6 6
7 11.3% 11.3 7
8 10.0% 10.0 8
9 10.6% 10.6 9
10 7.7% 7.7 10
11 4.3% 4.3 11
12 3.5% 3.5 12
13 0.9% 0.9 13
14 0.7% 0.7 14
15 0.1% 0.1 15
16 16
17 17
18 0.1% 0.1 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
48 48
49 49
50 50
Total 100% 7.6% 0.1 7.5 0.1 92.4 7.6 0.1




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Virginia 24.8% 1.0 0.2
Louisville 9.3% 2.0 0.2
Duke 3.2% 1.0 0.0
Wake Forest 2.4% 1.0 0.0
Syracuse 2.3% 1.0 0.0
Auburn 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Elon 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Clemson 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Florida State 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.5
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 3.0