Buffalo
Men - Women
2015 - 2016 - 2017
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
300  Stephanie Ward FR 20:33
635  Morgan Mahoney JR 21:07
709  Rachel Barich SO 21:13
896  Meagan Hopkins SR 21:25
934  Corinne Birchard SR 21:28
1,087  Charlotte Molloy JR 21:37
1,239  Sylvia Russell FR 21:47
1,310  Amy Shaw JR 21:51
1,328  Lauren Reyda SO 21:52
1,406  Juliana Basla FR 21:57
1,790  Meghan LaTuso FR 22:20
1,845  Melinda Wheeler SR 22:24
2,233  Juliet Hull FR 22:49
2,618  Caroline Rusch SO 23:22
2,700  Sydney Bova SO 23:31
2,718  Gabrielle Robens FR 23:33
3,112  Natalie Muller JR 24:34
National Rank #113 of 344
Northeast Region Rank #13 of 43
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 13th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.3%
Top 10 in Regional 18.9%
Top 20 in Regional 99.9%


Race Performance Ratings



Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.



RaceDateTeam Rating Stephanie Ward Morgan Mahoney Rachel Barich Meagan Hopkins Corinne Birchard Charlotte Molloy Sylvia Russell Amy Shaw Lauren Reyda Juliana Basla Meghan LaTuso
UB Stampede Invite 09/16 1084 20:32 21:12 21:03 21:36 21:25 21:37 21:27 22:05 23:21 21:48 22:07
Paul Short Invitational (Gold) 10/01 1105 20:41 21:08 21:12 21:27 21:25 21:32 21:37 22:15 21:53
Penn State National Open 10/14 1053 20:31 20:47 21:30 21:19 21:29 21:25 21:48 21:50 21:41 22:10
Canisius Alumni Classic 10/15 1394 22:35
Mid-American Conference 10/29 1096 20:40 20:57 21:17 21:27 21:27 21:47 22:33 21:53 21:39
Northeast Region Championships 11/11 1071 20:23 21:14 21:19 21:15 21:58 21:34 21:32





NCAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 12.3 369 0.3 1.0 0.8 3.2 5.2 8.6 11.6 18.4 24.7 14.9 5.8 3.2 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Stephanie Ward 2.7% 160.0


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Stephanie Ward 29.9 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 0.9 0.8 1.6 1.4 2.0 1.5 2.2 1.7 2.6 2.3 2.1 2.7 3.1 3.4 3.0 3.0
Morgan Mahoney 67.8 0.2 0.1 0.1
Rachel Barich 76.6 0.1 0.1
Meagan Hopkins 96.1
Corinne Birchard 99.7
Charlotte Molloy 113.9
Sylvia Russell 128.6




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 0.3% 0.3 5
6 1.0% 1.0 6
7 0.8% 0.8 7
8 3.2% 3.2 8
9 5.2% 5.2 9
10 8.6% 8.6 10
11 11.6% 11.6 11
12 18.4% 18.4 12
13 24.7% 24.7 13
14 14.9% 14.9 14
15 5.8% 5.8 15
16 3.2% 3.2 16
17 1.5% 1.5 17
18 0.8% 0.8 18
19 0.3% 0.3 19
20 0.1% 0.1 20
21 0.1% 0.1 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points




At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.




Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0