Butler
Men - Women
2015 - 2016 - 2017
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
63  Katherine Turner SR 19:52
137  Josephine Thestrup FR 20:09
369  Maddie Westerhoff SR 20:42
385  Olivia Anderson SR 20:44
856  Colleen Weatherford SR 21:23
1,573  Clare McCabe FR 22:07
1,653  Kristen Johnson FR 22:12
2,179  Grace Butkus SO 22:45
2,194  Hannah Hartzell JR 22:46
2,875  Kara Stark FR 23:54
2,900  Hannah Kurath FR 23:58
3,222  Jennifer Schrock SR 25:00
National Rank #43 of 344
Great Lakes Region Rank #7 of 34
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 3.0%
Most Likely Finish 9th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.5%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 5.2%
Top 10 in Regional 98.7%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Katherine Turner Josephine Thestrup Maddie Westerhoff Olivia Anderson Colleen Weatherford Clare McCabe Kristen Johnson Grace Butkus Hannah Hartzell Kara Stark Hannah Kurath
Commadore Classic 09/17 739 20:06 20:00 20:48 20:34 21:39 22:00 21:05 22:55 24:54 23:32
Louisville Classic (Gold) 10/01 717 19:54 20:14 20:33 20:29 21:14 22:10 21:46
ISU adidas Pre Nationals (Blue) 10/15 719 19:36 20:07 20:39 20:43 21:22 22:11 22:41
Illini Open 10/21 1520 23:09 22:57 23:44 26:04
Big East Conference Championships 10/28 795 19:54 20:02 20:46 21:14 21:16 21:56 23:30 22:25 22:53 23:25
Great Lakes Region Championships 11/11 747 19:36 20:23 20:25 20:49 21:47 22:19 22:43





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 3.0% 25.7 595 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.4 0.2
Region Championship 100% 7.8 226 0.2 1.0 4.1 11.3 23.1 25.1 29.9 4.3 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Katherine Turner 72.5% 58.5 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.9 0.4 0.6
Josephine Thestrup 21.6% 94.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Maddie Westerhoff 3.0% 188.0
Olivia Anderson 3.0% 183.5
Colleen Weatherford 3.0% 239.7
Clare McCabe 3.0% 250.5
Kristen Johnson 3.0% 250.5


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Katherine Turner 9.1 0.1 0.7 4.9 7.4 6.2 7.7 7.6 7.1 8.0 5.4 6.4 4.5 4.4 3.2 4.8 3.6 2.4 2.6 2.2 1.8 1.7 1.4 0.7 1.2 0.9
Josephine Thestrup 19.5 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.9 1.5 1.9 1.7 2.9 3.0 3.3 3.8 4.0 3.8 4.5 3.2 4.4 4.3 4.2 3.6 3.4 4.2 3.7 3.6 3.3
Maddie Westerhoff 47.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.8
Olivia Anderson 50.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.7
Colleen Weatherford 92.3
Clare McCabe 153.3
Kristen Johnson 160.4




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 0.2% 100.0% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 3
4 1.0% 50.0% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.5 4
5 4.1% 18.5% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 3.3 0.8 5
6 11.3% 8.9% 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 10.3 1.0 6
7 23.1% 2.6% 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 22.5 0.6 7
8 25.1% 25.1 8
9 29.9% 29.9 9
10 4.3% 4.3 10
11 0.9% 0.9 11
12 0.3% 0.3 12
13 0.1% 0.1 13
14 0.1% 0.1 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
Total 100% 3.0% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.7 97.0 0.0 3.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Miss State 82.8% 1.0 0.8
Furman 25.1% 1.0 0.3
Virginia 24.8% 1.0 0.2
Missouri 24.4% 1.0 0.2
Eastern Kentucky 12.1% 3.0 0.4
Louisville 9.3% 3.0 0.3
Virginia Tech 7.6% 1.0 0.1
Rice 5.9% 1.0 0.1
Ohio State 3.8% 1.0 0.0
Colorado St. 2.1% 1.0 0.0
Oklahoma 1.0% 1.0 0.0
Dartmouth 0.8% 1.0 0.0
Brown 0.6% 1.0 0.0
Auburn 0.3% 2.0 0.0
Elon 0.2% 2.0 0.0
Clemson 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Georgia 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Purdue 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 2.4
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 7.0