Eastern Michigan
Men - Women
2015 - 2016 - 2017
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
25  Jordann McDermitt JR 19:39
78  Natalie Cizmas SO 19:57
126  Alsu Bogdanova SR 20:07
245  Sydney Meyers SO 20:25
339  Jenna Wyns JR 20:38
351  Sofie Gallein SR 20:40
1,097  Anna Aldrich SR 21:38
1,278  Allie Knoll SO 21:49
1,295  Rebekah Branham SO 21:50
1,348  Danielle Benztley JR 21:53
1,888  Claire Mesa JR 22:27
2,163  Lauren Pottschmidt JR 22:44
National Rank #17 of 344
Great Lakes Region Rank #4 of 34
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 90.3%
Most Likely Finish 19th at Nationals


National Champion 0.1%
Top 5 at Nationals 2.9%
Top 10 at Nationals 17.2%
Top 20 at Nationals 61.7%


Regional Champion 7.2%
Top 5 in Regional 89.5%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Jordann McDermitt Natalie Cizmas Alsu Bogdanova Sydney Meyers Jenna Wyns Sofie Gallein Anna Aldrich Allie Knoll Rebekah Branham Danielle Benztley Claire Mesa
Fit-Detroit Titan Invitational 09/10 1155 20:39 22:27 22:12 21:39 21:19 22:22
Commadore Classic 09/17 556 19:47 20:04 20:26 20:33 20:17 20:42 22:01 21:20 21:42
Joe Piane Invitational (Blue) 09/30 445 19:37 19:47 20:11 20:16 20:29 20:25 21:17 22:00 22:06
ISU adidas Pre Nationals (Open) 10/15 1245 21:27 22:15 22:06 22:29
ISU adidas Pre Nationals (Blue) 10/15 433 19:38 19:54 20:01 20:26 20:13 21:04 21:34
Mid-American Conference 10/29 467 19:34 20:08 19:57 20:09 20:59 20:40 20:46 21:38 21:48
Great Lakes Region Championships 11/11 428 19:31 19:54 20:00 20:10 21:33 20:32 21:34





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 90.3% 17.0 444 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.7 1.4 1.8 2.5 2.3 3.7 4.1 4.0 4.1 4.4 4.3 4.3 4.7 4.2 4.7 5.3 4.7 4.7 3.8 4.1 2.8 2.6 3.0 3.0 2.1 1.5 0.9 0.5
Region Championship 100% 3.7 114 7.2 16.7 23.1 22.8 19.8 7.6 2.3 0.6 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jordann McDermitt 99.5% 34.9 0.1 0.2 0.7 0.5 1.1 1.0 1.2 1.1 1.6 1.4 1.5 1.2 1.4 1.7 1.2 1.7 1.4 1.8 1.9 2.0 2.0 1.5 1.6 1.8 1.8
Natalie Cizmas 90.9% 76.5 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.3
Alsu Bogdanova 90.3% 105.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1
Sydney Meyers 90.3% 162.6 0.1
Jenna Wyns 90.3% 196.2
Sofie Gallein 90.3% 198.8
Anna Aldrich 90.3% 249.4


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jordann McDermitt 4.7 0.9 4.5 20.8 13.7 14.1 10.8 7.7 5.0 5.1 3.3 2.9 2.4 2.1 1.9 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.7 0.1 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.1
Natalie Cizmas 11.6 0.1 1.7 3.6 3.8 6.2 6.8 5.9 6.7 5.8 5.8 6.4 5.1 4.8 4.0 3.8 3.5 3.7 2.4 2.9 2.6 1.7 2.1 1.6 1.4
Alsu Bogdanova 18.3 0.3 0.8 0.8 1.4 2.0 2.2 3.7 3.8 4.1 4.3 4.9 4.4 3.4 4.4 4.5 4.2 3.9 3.2 3.7 3.2 3.1 2.8 3.3
Sydney Meyers 32.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.6 1.2 1.6 1.2 1.3 1.7 2.3 2.5 1.8 2.6 2.2 3.0 2.2
Jenna Wyns 44.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 1.4
Sofie Gallein 45.8 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.8
Anna Aldrich 109.6




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 7.2% 100.0% 7.2 7.2 1
2 16.7% 100.0% 16.7 16.7 2
3 23.1% 100.0% 5.2 5.7 4.7 3.2 2.1 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 23.1 3
4 22.8% 100.0% 2.1 3.4 2.7 3.5 2.9 2.6 2.3 1.9 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.2 22.8 4
5 19.8% 93.9% 0.7 1.5 1.8 2.4 2.8 2.6 2.7 1.9 1.3 0.5 0.5 1.2 18.6 5
6 7.6% 25.7% 0.3 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 5.7 2.0 6
7 2.3% 2.3 7
8 0.6% 0.6 8
9 0.1% 0.1 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
Total 100% 90.3% 7.2 16.7 5.2 7.8 8.8 7.4 7.3 6.5 5.9 5.8 4.9 2.9 2.3 1.0 0.8 9.8 23.9 66.4




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Baylor 99.2% 1.0 1.0
New Mexico 98.6% 1.0 1.0
Mississippi 95.3% 1.0 1.0
Notre Dame 92.0% 1.0 0.9
Utah 84.5% 1.0 0.8
Miss State 82.8% 2.0 1.7
Minnesota 31.9% 1.0 0.3
California 28.9% 2.0 0.6
Florida 27.8% 1.0 0.3
Furman 25.1% 1.0 0.3
Virginia 24.8% 1.0 0.2
Missouri 24.4% 2.0 0.5
Eastern Kentucky 12.1% 2.0 0.2
Louisville 9.3% 2.0 0.2
Air Force 8.9% 2.0 0.2
Alabama 7.3% 1.0 0.1
Vanderbilt 6.1% 2.0 0.1
Rice 5.9% 1.0 0.1
Kansas 5.6% 1.0 0.1
Ohio State 3.8% 2.0 0.1
Texas 2.2% 1.0 0.0
Colorado St. 2.1% 1.0 0.0
Butler 1.7% 2.0 0.0
Oklahoma 1.0% 1.0 0.0
Dartmouth 0.8% 1.0 0.0
Brown 0.6% 1.0 0.0
Auburn 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Indiana 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Elon 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Florida State 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Clemson 0.1% 2.0 0.0
Northern Illinois 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Georgia 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Cal Poly 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Purdue 0.1% 2.0 0.0
Total 9.6
Minimum 4.0
Maximum 17.0