Jacksonville
Men - Women
2015 - 2016 - 2017
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
432  Nora McUmber SO 20:49
819  Caitlin Marino SR 21:19
953  Katy Solis SR 21:29
1,151  Anna Karaseva SO 21:42
1,760  Kyla Siemens JR 22:18
2,142  Mary Jeanne Assinzo FR 22:43
National Rank #145 of 344
South Region Rank #18 of 47
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 17th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 2.0%
Top 20 in Regional 97.3%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Nora McUmber Caitlin Marino Katy Solis Anna Karaseva Kyla Siemens Mary Jeanne Assinzo
Gator Cross Country Invitational 09/24 1096 20:23 21:22 21:40 21:23 21:46 24:10
FSU Invitational 10/07 1170 20:52 21:36 21:29 21:20 22:16 22:40
ASUN Championship 10/29 1155 20:46 21:16 21:19 21:57 22:45 22:17
South Region Championships 11/11 1183 20:59 21:10 21:22 22:14 23:17 22:35





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 15.8 459 0.1 0.1 0.7 1.1 4.1 5.5 8.1 11.5 14.1 13.6 14.2 10.9 8.8 4.7 1.9 0.7 0.2 0.1



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nora McUmber 40.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.7 0.7 1.0 0.9 1.5 1.4 1.8
Caitlin Marino 76.4 0.1 0.1
Katy Solis 89.1
Anna Karaseva 103.0
Kyla Siemens 146.7
Mary Jeanne Assinzo 181.1




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 0.1% 0.1 7
8 0.1% 0.1 8
9 0.7% 0.7 9
10 1.1% 1.1 10
11 4.1% 4.1 11
12 5.5% 5.5 12
13 8.1% 8.1 13
14 11.5% 11.5 14
15 14.1% 14.1 15
16 13.6% 13.6 16
17 14.2% 14.2 17
18 10.9% 10.9 18
19 8.8% 8.8 19
20 4.7% 4.7 20
21 1.9% 1.9 21
22 0.7% 0.7 22
23 0.2% 0.2 23
24 0.1% 0.1 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0