Louisville
Men - Women
2015 - 2016 - 2017
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
53  Dorcas Wasike FR 19:48
329  Bailey Davis JR 20:37
426  Caroline Gosser SO 20:48
499  Mia Ross JR 20:56
694  Bailey Beery FR 21:12
766  Aurilla Wilson SO 21:16
792  Adair Gennocro JR 21:18
874  Claire Noser SR 21:24
1,061  Abigail Wright SO 21:36
2,047  Rachel Pease SR 22:36
National Rank #57 of 344
Southeast Region Rank #7 of 50
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 9.3%
Most Likely Finish 4th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.3%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 47.5%
Top 10 in Regional 93.4%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Dorcas Wasike Bailey Davis Caroline Gosser Mia Ross Bailey Beery Aurilla Wilson Adair Gennocro Claire Noser Abigail Wright Rachel Pease
Commadore Classic 09/17 859 19:43 20:43 21:16 20:53 21:07 20:56 21:35 21:32 21:29
Louisville Classic (Gold) 10/01 1055 20:42 20:54 20:52 21:23 21:31 21:53 21:22 21:39 22:21
ISU adidas Pre Nationals (Blue) 10/15 907 19:52 20:41 21:00 21:11 21:10 21:36 21:30
ACC Championships 10/28 793 19:52 20:20 20:39 21:01 21:02 21:13 21:08 21:24 21:35 22:57
Southeast Region Champioinships 11/11 715 19:43 20:14 20:39 20:45 21:16 21:42 20:52





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 9.3% 28.4 666 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.7 1.3 2.0 2.7
Region Championship 100% 6.0 218 9.3 12.0 13.2 13.1 12.6 10.8 10.2 7.8 4.7 3.2 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Dorcas Wasike 55.6% 50.8 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.8 0.3 0.7 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.9 1.0 0.8 0.7 0.8
Bailey Davis 9.3% 167.8
Caroline Gosser 9.3% 195.6
Mia Ross 9.3% 209.8
Bailey Beery 9.3% 231.1
Aurilla Wilson 9.3% 233.1
Adair Gennocro 9.3% 236.2


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Dorcas Wasike 6.4 5.4 7.1 7.5 9.0 9.2 8.5 8.2 7.4 5.2 5.5 3.9 5.2 3.4 2.9 2.8 2.1 1.9 1.0 1.0 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.2
Bailey Davis 36.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.6 0.9 0.6 1.5 0.8 1.7 1.2 2.2 2.2 2.0
Caroline Gosser 46.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.9
Mia Ross 53.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3
Bailey Beery 75.0
Aurilla Wilson 82.5
Adair Gennocro 85.0




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 9.3% 100.0% 9.3 9.3 2
3 12.0% 12.0 3
4 13.2% 13.2 4
5 13.1% 13.1 5
6 12.6% 12.6 6
7 10.8% 10.8 7
8 10.2% 10.2 8
9 7.8% 7.8 9
10 4.7% 4.7 10
11 3.2% 3.2 11
12 2.1% 2.1 12
13 0.9% 0.9 13
14 0.3% 0.3 14
15 0.1% 0.1 15
16 0.1% 0.1 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
48 48
49 49
50 50
Total 100% 9.3% 9.3 90.8 9.3 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Virginia 24.8% 1.0 0.2
Eastern Kentucky 12.1% 1.0 0.1
Rice 5.9% 1.0 0.1
Duke 3.2% 1.0 0.0
Wake Forest 2.4% 1.0 0.0
Syracuse 2.3% 1.0 0.0
Auburn 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Elon 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Clemson 0.1% 2.0 0.0
Florida State 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Georgia 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.5
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 3.0