Northern Illinois
Men - Women
2015 - 2016 - 2017
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
179  Hope Schmelzle SR 20:16
324  Kelsey Hildreth JR 20:37
568  Ericka Hibser SO 21:02
714  Vivian Overbeck FR 21:13
719  Ali Olson SR 21:14
1,115  Lorena Martin JR 21:39
1,398  Carly Pederson SR 21:56
1,682  Maura Beattie SO 22:14
2,310  Michaela Heit SO 22:55
2,790  Mercer Mack FR 23:42
3,066  Kayla Fallis SO 24:25
3,163  Danielle Dlabal SR 24:45
3,310  DoShawn Franks JR 25:28
3,336  Dajhia Reed FR 25:35
3,506  Cherree Miller FR 27:03
National Rank #83 of 344
Midwest Region Rank #9 of 37
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.1%
Most Likely Finish 8th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 4.8%
Top 10 in Regional 88.8%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Hope Schmelzle Kelsey Hildreth Ericka Hibser Vivian Overbeck Ali Olson Lorena Martin Carly Pederson Maura Beattie Michaela Heit Mercer Mack Kayla Fallis
ISU Country Financial Invitational 09/09 1071 20:28 21:35 21:02 21:23 21:28 21:18 21:23 22:02 22:27 24:10 24:40
Roy Griak Invitational 09/24 943 20:20 20:23 21:12 20:58 21:42 21:32 22:02 22:12 22:51
Midwest Regional Preview 10/01 1119 20:39 21:49 20:59 21:27 21:55 21:51 21:47 23:02 23:16
Bradley "Pink" Classic 10/14 917 20:18 20:20 21:01 21:15 21:07 21:36 21:58 22:35 22:24
Illini Open 10/21 1537 23:15 23:45 24:28
Mid-American Conference 10/29 819 20:09 20:10 20:46 21:10 20:55 22:03 22:19 22:31 23:28
Midwest Region Championships 11/11 952 19:52 20:58 21:14 21:10 21:06 21:36 22:16





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.1% 30.0 730 0.2
Region Championship 100% 8.3 271 0.1 0.3 1.2 3.2 8.4 17.2 32.4 17.5 8.6 5.3 2.1 1.8 1.0 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.2



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Hope Schmelzle 11.9% 110.5 0.1 0.1
Kelsey Hildreth 0.8% 159.0
Ericka Hibser 0.1% 205.5
Vivian Overbeck 0.1% 225.5
Ali Olson 0.1% 218.5
Lorena Martin 0.1% 236.5
Carly Pederson 0.1% 250.5


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Hope Schmelzle 15.3 0.5 1.7 2.2 2.7 3.5 3.2 3.6 4.0 4.6 4.2 5.1 5.0 4.3 4.2 4.5 5.0 4.9 3.9 4.1 3.1 3.2 3.2 2.5 2.3
Kelsey Hildreth 30.9 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.9 1.1 0.9 1.1 2.0 1.3 2.0 1.9 1.9 2.7 3.2 2.2 2.8 3.6 3.3
Ericka Hibser 61.7 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.1 0.4
Vivian Overbeck 77.4 0.1 0.2
Ali Olson 78.6 0.1 0.1
Lorena Martin 119.5
Carly Pederson 145.0




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 0.1% 100.0% 0.1 0.1 2
3 0.3% 20.0% 0.1 0.2 0.1 3
4 1.2% 1.2 4
5 3.2% 3.2 5
6 8.4% 8.4 6
7 17.2% 17.2 7
8 32.4% 32.4 8
9 17.5% 17.5 9
10 8.6% 8.6 10
11 5.3% 5.3 11
12 2.1% 2.1 12
13 1.8% 1.8 13
14 1.0% 1.0 14
15 0.7% 0.7 15
16 0.2% 0.2 16
17 0.1% 0.1 17
18 0.2% 0.2 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
Total 100% 0.2% 0.1 0.1 99.9 0.1 0.1




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Oklahoma 1.0% 1.0 0.0
Northern Arizona 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 1.0