Penn
Men - Women
2015 - 2016 - 2017
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
67  Ashley Montgomery SR 19:53
172  Cleo Whiting SR 20:14
248  Clarissa Whiting SR 20:25
338  Erin Feeney FR 20:38
359  Abigail Hong JR 20:41
720  Isabel Griffith JR 21:14
760  Christina Rancan FR 21:16
1,040  Marin Warner SO 21:34
1,081  Olivia Ryan SO 21:37
1,106  Carole Harsch SO 21:39
1,139  Alexandra Huntsman JR 21:41
1,153  Karli Visconto SO 21:42
1,217  Julianna Catania FR 21:45
1,413  Gina Alm JR 21:57
1,520  Rachel Beston FR 22:04
1,540  Karen Xiang JR 22:05
2,124  Emily Fisher JR 22:42
2,170  Madeline Villaba FR 22:44
2,391  Juliet Kohli FR 23:00
National Rank #32 of 344
Mid-Atlantic Region Rank #3 of 38
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 76.2%
Most Likely Finish 31st at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.1%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.9%
Top 20 at Nationals 12.2%


Regional Champion 5.7%
Top 5 in Regional 97.2%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings



Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.



RaceDateTeam Rating Ashley Montgomery Cleo Whiting Clarissa Whiting Erin Feeney Abigail Hong Isabel Griffith Christina Rancan Marin Warner Olivia Ryan Carole Harsch Alexandra Huntsman
Main Line Invitational 09/16 701 20:01 20:15 20:22 20:55 20:39 21:17 21:07 21:28 21:51 21:29 21:43
Paul Short Invitational (Gold) 10/01 639 19:58 20:18 20:20 20:28 20:37 21:22 21:24 21:53
Nuttycombe Wisconsin Invitational 10/14 595 19:38 20:07 20:33 20:31 20:29 21:14
Princeton Invitational 10/15 1174 20:57 21:30 21:21 21:49 21:39
Ivy League Championship 10/29 706 20:00 20:28 20:24 20:38 20:40 21:27 21:19 21:24 21:48 21:48 21:38
Mid-Atlantic Region Championships 11/11 692 19:52 20:06 20:28 20:43 20:58 21:17





NCAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 76.2% 25.2 595 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.0 0.8 0.9 0.7 1.0 1.4 1.6 1.8 1.7 3.1 4.1 3.2 4.5 4.8 6.1 5.5 8.3 7.5 8.4 8.7
Region Championship 100% 3.2 95 5.7 28.6 27.4 21.6 13.9 2.4 0.5



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ashley Montgomery 94.5% 69.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.5
Cleo Whiting 80.0% 130.8 0.1 0.1
Clarissa Whiting 76.5% 164.9
Erin Feeney 76.3% 194.0
Abigail Hong 76.2% 201.4
Isabel Griffith 76.2% 240.2
Christina Rancan 76.2% 241.7


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ashley Montgomery 5.2 5.8 9.3 9.5 10.7 12.6 12.3 11.0 8.8 6.5 4.0 3.0 1.5 1.9 1.1 0.4 0.7 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1
Cleo Whiting 11.5 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.7 2.5 3.4 4.5 7.5 8.9 8.7 8.5 7.0 7.3 5.8 4.1 4.3 3.8 3.2 2.9 2.2 2.0 1.6 1.1 1.6 0.7
Clarissa Whiting 17.1 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.0 1.2 2.1 2.3 5.4 4.8 4.9 4.8 5.8 5.7 5.3 5.7 4.5 4.3 4.5 3.5 4.0 3.8 3.3 3.1
Erin Feeney 25.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.4 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.9 2.6 2.6 3.1 3.3 3.3 3.5 3.7 3.2 4.3 4.0 3.5 4.3
Abigail Hong 27.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.6 0.3 0.8 1.3 1.2 1.1 2.0 1.8 2.7 2.6 3.0 3.3 3.6 3.6 3.4 3.4 3.6
Isabel Griffith 59.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Christina Rancan 62.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 5.7% 100.0% 5.7 5.7 1
2 28.6% 100.0% 28.6 28.6 2
3 27.4% 85.8% 0.2 0.3 0.8 1.2 1.8 1.8 2.3 2.7 3.1 3.1 3.4 3.1 3.9 23.5 3
4 21.6% 69.2% 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.9 1.2 0.8 2.0 2.1 2.6 2.7 2.3 6.7 15.0 4
5 13.9% 24.8% 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.9 10.5 3.5 5
6 2.4% 2.1% 0.1 2.3 0.1 6
7 0.5% 0.5 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
Total 100% 76.2% 5.7 28.6 0.3 0.4 0.9 1.5 2.8 3.1 3.3 4.9 5.9 6.2 6.7 6.3 23.8 34.3 42.0




Points




At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.




Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Michigan State 96.5% 1.0 1.0
Harvard 74.3% 1.0 0.7
Villanova 62.9% 2.0 1.3
Boise State 60.0% 1.0 0.6
Minnesota 31.9% 1.0 0.3
Florida 27.8% 1.0 0.3
Georgetown 22.0% 1.0 0.2
SMU 16.3% 1.0 0.2
Wisconsin 14.5% 1.0 0.1
Vanderbilt 6.1% 1.0 0.1
Tulsa 3.4% 1.0 0.0
Cornell 2.7% 2.0 0.1
Syracuse 2.3% 1.0 0.0
Dartmouth 0.8% 2.0 0.0
Brown 0.6% 2.0 0.0
Georgia 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Florida State 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Iona 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Northern Arizona 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 4.9
Minimum 1.0
Maximum 9.0