Samford
Men - Women
2015 - 2016 - 2017
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
122  Karisa Nelson JR 20:06
277  Emma Garner JR 20:31
844  Anna Long JR 21:22
1,257  Mary Grace Strozier FR 21:48
1,892  Shian Mallory FR 22:27
2,281  Presley Weems FR 22:53
3,055  Hannah Belcher SO 24:24
National Rank #86 of 344
South Region Rank #10 of 47
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 12th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 17.2%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Karisa Nelson Emma Garner Anna Long Mary Grace Strozier Shian Mallory Presley Weems Hannah Belcher
Chile Pepper Festival 10/01 978 20:07 20:25 21:45 21:56 22:28 23:34
Alabama Crimson Classic 10/14 1004 20:16 20:27 21:07 21:56 23:02 23:28 24:25
Southern Conference Championship 10/29 968 19:55 20:35 21:34 21:40 21:55 22:23
South Region Championships 11/11 894 19:49 20:16 21:07 21:39 22:25 22:25





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 12.7 389 0.2 1.8 4.1 11.2 14.2 17.8 16.3 12.8 8.8 6.1 3.8 2.0 0.7 0.4 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Karisa Nelson 22.8% 89.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Emma Garner 0.5% 147.0


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Karisa Nelson 9.7 1.4 2.4 4.7 6.3 6.7 6.0 5.7 6.6 6.3 6.0 5.1 5.2 4.4 3.6 3.6 3.4 4.4 3.0 2.6 2.2 1.7 1.3 1.6 0.9 0.9
Emma Garner 25.4 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.9 1.3 1.5 2.0 2.0 3.2 2.7 3.6 3.3 2.9 3.3 3.7 4.2 5.0 3.5
Anna Long 79.6 0.1
Mary Grace Strozier 110.3
Shian Mallory 158.9
Presley Weems 195.2
Hannah Belcher 260.0




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 0.2% 0.2 7
8 1.8% 1.8 8
9 4.1% 4.1 9
10 11.2% 11.2 10
11 14.2% 14.2 11
12 17.8% 17.8 12
13 16.3% 16.3 13
14 12.8% 12.8 14
15 8.8% 8.8 15
16 6.1% 6.1 16
17 3.8% 3.8 17
18 2.0% 2.0 18
19 0.7% 0.7 19
20 0.4% 0.4 20
21 0.1% 0.1 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0