Minnesota
Men - Women
2016 - 2017 - 2018
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
38  Madeline Strandemo SR 19:36
46  Megan Hasz SO 19:40
51  Bethany Hasz SO 19:42
278  Bailey Ness JR 20:28
398  Abby Kohut-Jackson FR 20:41
447  Patty O'Brien JR 20:46
532  Courtney Alama JR 20:53
569  Emily Betz JR 20:57
650  Elyse Prescott SO 21:04
National Rank #16 of 348
Midwest Region Rank #1 of 37
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 99.9%
Most Likely Finish 13th at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.9%
Top 10 at Nationals 18.9%
Top 20 at Nationals 78.0%


Regional Champion 59.5%
Top 5 in Regional 100.0%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Madeline Strandemo Megan Hasz Bethany Hasz Bailey Ness Abby Kohut-Jackson Patty O'Brien Courtney Alama Emily Betz Elyse Prescott
Oz Memorial 09/08 1097 20:44
Roy Griak Invitational 09/23 353 19:38 19:44 19:42 20:12 20:42 20:34 20:19 20:39
Louisville Classic (Gold) 09/30 429 19:39 19:40 19:37 20:25 20:46 20:40 20:43 21:07 21:22
Nuttycombe Invitational 10/13 412 19:27 19:28 19:29 20:30 21:01 20:59 20:48
Big Ten Championship 10/29 369 19:22 19:31 19:42 20:21 20:31 20:50 20:56 21:43 20:48
Midwest Region Championships 11/10 613 19:58 19:57 19:59 20:52 20:51 21:20 20:57





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 99.9% 15.8 436 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.6 3.2 2.7 4.9 5.8 5.5 6.3 7.2 5.9 6.7 6.7 5.6 5.6 5.0 4.7 5.2 4.0 3.3 2.3 2.0 2.1 1.3 1.0 0.4 0.6 0.1
Region Championship 100% 1.5 75 59.5 34.7 5.5 0.4 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Madeline Strandemo 99.9% 45.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.7 1.0 1.3 1.2 0.9 0.9 1.2 1.2 1.7 1.4 1.3 1.3 1.6 1.6 1.4
Megan Hasz 99.9% 52.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.8 0.4 0.4 0.8 0.8 1.0 1.0 0.5 1.3 1.1 1.3 1.0 1.0
Bethany Hasz 99.9% 56.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.8 1.3 1.1 0.6 1.0 1.2 1.1
Bailey Ness 99.9% 183.4
Abby Kohut-Jackson 99.9% 210.0
Patty O'Brien 99.9% 217.3
Courtney Alama 99.9% 225.9


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Madeline Strandemo 3.9 1.1 15.2 18.5 17.2 15.4 10.7 9.0 5.3 3.3 1.9 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1
Megan Hasz 4.7 0.4 9.2 15.3 15.0 15.2 12.8 10.2 7.5 4.9 3.4 2.6 1.1 1.1 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1
Bethany Hasz 5.1 0.4 8.3 12.1 15.0 13.4 13.8 11.3 9.1 5.4 4.1 2.8 1.9 1.3 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1
Bailey Ness 23.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.9 1.2 1.5 2.8 3.3 3.3 3.1 3.0 4.5 4.9 3.9 4.4 3.3 3.2 3.5 3.4 3.4 2.9
Abby Kohut-Jackson 37.5 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.9 1.5 0.7 1.4 1.2 1.7 2.2 2.5 1.7 2.0 2.6 2.6
Patty O'Brien 43.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.4 1.2 0.9 0.8 1.2 1.1 1.7 1.5 1.6 1.9
Courtney Alama 53.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.8 0.7




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 59.5% 100.0% 59.5 59.5 1
2 34.7% 100.0% 34.7 34.7 2
3 5.5% 100.0% 1.7 1.5 1.0 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 5.5 3
4 0.4% 100.0% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 4
5 0.1% 0.1 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
Total 100% 99.9% 59.5 34.7 1.7 1.6 1.0 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 94.1 5.8




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Iowa State 98.3% 1.0 1.0
Michigan State 90.4% 2.0 1.8
Columbia 78.2% 1.0 0.8
California 58.5% 1.0 0.6
Eastern Kentucky 45.5% 1.0 0.5
Utah 43.1% 1.0 0.4
Indiana 42.4% 1.0 0.4
Louisville 33.4% 1.0 0.3
Air Force 32.3% 1.0 0.3
Eastern Michigan 29.6% 1.0 0.3
Virginia Tech 27.9% 1.0 0.3
Georgetown 26.5% 1.0 0.3
Northern Arizona 17.7% 1.0 0.2
Baylor 17.5% 1.0 0.2
Yale 14.2% 1.0 0.1
Samford 10.8% 1.0 0.1
Virginia 8.9% 1.0 0.1
Syracuse 5.6% 1.0 0.1
Florida State 4.9% 1.0 0.0
Abilene Christian 1.6% 1.0 0.0
South Dakota 0.9% 1.0 0.0
West Virginia 0.8% 1.0 0.0
Vanderbilt 0.5% 2.0 0.0
Notre Dame 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Tulsa 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Auburn 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Arizona State 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Kentucky 0.1% 2.0 0.0
Northern Illinois 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 7.8
Minimum 1.0
Maximum 13.0